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calculated production decline curves. First, a correlation coefficient (R l ) was calculated for comparison of the curve with known, historical production data. R l will vary between oand 1. O. A value of 0 indicates that there is no correlation between the actual production data and the calculated curve. A value of 1.0 indicates that the historical production data are defmed exactly by the calculated production decline curve. Most values of R l were greater than 0.5, indicating a good curve fit. For many wells, R l was greater than 0.85, indicating an excellent fit between the curve and the historical data points; this is especially true of wells completed in the Brushy Canyon Formation of the Delaware Mountain Group. The second test of curve fit involved integrating the area under the decline curve from initial production of the well to the end of December 1993. This gives an estimate of cumulative production from initial well completion until the end of 1993. This value was then compared with actual cumulative production at the end of 1993. For most wells, the difference between the estimated (calculated) value and the actual value of cumulative production was less than 5%, indicating good representation of the production data by the calculated curve. In some cases, the difference between the two values was less than 2%, indicating that the calculated curve yields an excellent representation of actual production. Both tests of curve fit indicated that calculated curves could be used with confidence to predict future production and therefore to calculate reserves. As mentioned previOUSly, reserves of associated gas in oil wells were calculated by a different method (see Kloepper, 1993). In these wells, the economics are driven largely by oil production. This is especially true for productive oil wells in the vicinity of the WIPP site. These wells have low gas-oil ratios. A well is ultimately abandoned because daily oil production has fallen below an economic rate. For these wells, historical monthly values of gas-oil ratio were calculated from production data. A gas-oil ratio decline curve was plotted and projected to well abandonment based on projections of crude-oil production. Gas-oil ratios estimated by the curve were then multiplied by projected crude-oil production to obtain an estimate of past and future associated-gas production (i.e. ultimate recovery). Only wells with at least 12 continuous months of production data were used in ultimate recovery calculations. Many wells had at least 36 months of production data prior to the end of 1993 and some wells had several years of production. Some wells have been re-entered since original completion. In most of these re-entered wells, the original producing zone has been abandoned and sealed off from the rest of the borehole by either a bridge plug or by cement. In these cases, the well has since been recompleted in a new zone, which is usually shalJower than the original producing zone. Such a well may have been productive from two, three, or even four zones at different times in its history. Each zone is associated with its own production decline curve, and ultimate recovery was calculated separately for each zone. Wells in which production bas been significantly curtailed for economic or other Information Only XI-7
ea"ons often do not yield a production history which is suitable for decline-curve analysis (see Kloepper, 1993). Ultimate recovery was not calculated for these wells. A few wells did not yield data that supported calculation of ,wn or unrecognized factors have left these wells with an erratic productio: 3tOry, Ultimate recovery was not calculated for these wells. After ultimate recovery wa~ "3lculated for individual wells, the average ultimate recovery per well Ii" . calculatedh major pay zone in pools adjacent to the WIPP land withdrawal area by the met!~ _,,'med below, This concept of the average well is widely used in the petroleum industry (see Holmes et aI., 1985). Although the concept of the average well is not suited to estimate resources for anyone particular prospect, it can be used with confidence to estimate the.resources under an area such as the WIPP site, which consists-of multiple undrilled prospects in known hydrocarbon traps that are projected to extend underneath the site. In order to calculate averac" Jltirnate recovery. a production decline curve for the average or typical well in each pool was established. The method u:;ed to generate this typical decline curve was dependent upon the quality and quantity ~roduction data available in each pool. For Delaware pools, montL production were assembled for all wells for which ultimate recovery was calculated. Data were normalized to the first month of production for each well. Then, the average production for each month (normalized to the well's initial nroduction) was calculated. Basedm these normalized average monthly production values, an average dec;.. ne curve for wells in each oil and gas pool was calculated according to the method descrd above. For pools in formations other than the Delaware, construction of the typical decline curve is described under discussion of each pool. Petroleum resources underneath the WIPP land withdrawal area and the surrounding one-mile additional study area \ ~ calculated for each oil and gas pool projected to extend underneath these areas (T~ .. 2-4). The potem.:al.iy productlve area for each pool was mapped by using the struetlm and stratigraphic maps to project boundaries of the traps from drilled producing areas into undrilled areas. Productive area was calculated in terms of proration units based on a spacing consistent with that in the pools adjacent to the WIPP land withdrawal area (Tables 2-4). The number of proratlGn units was then multiplied by the average resources per well to estimate the total ultimate recovery for each pool in the WIPP land withdrawal area and in the additional study area. Resources of the pool are then equal to the ultimate recovery minus the cumulative production. The petroleum geology and petroleum engineering characteristics of productive and potentially productive strata beneath the WIPP land withdrawal'",-ea are described below, as is the history of oil and gas dri11ing and production in the area. The geology of each stratigraphic unit and of the separate oil and gas pools within each stratigraphic unit is unique. The discussion is divided accordingly. XI-8 Information Only
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FINAL REpORT Evaluation of Mineral
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY E-l The Waste Iso
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E-3 Resources and reserves of the 1
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£-5 Expected Net Present Values fo
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E-7 Expected revenue present values
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E-9 VOLUME 1 Chapter I POTENTIAL IN
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E-11 VOLUME 1 Chapter II ENVIRONMEN
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E-13 VOLUME 2 Chapter III OVERVIEW
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E-15 VOLUME 2 Chapter IV . FUTURE M
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E-17 VOLUME 2 Chapter VI MINING TEC
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E-19 VOLUME 2 Chapter VII METHOD OF
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Information Only E-21 Figure 28. Th
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E-23 VOLUME 2 Chapter VIII VALUATIO
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E-25 VOLUME 3 Chapter IX REGULATION
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M atnx · aCI'd" IZmg . . . . . . .
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E-29 PROJECTED FUTURE OIL AND GAS P
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E-31 Figure 27. Casing program of t
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Information Only E-33 Figure 58. Ty
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E-35 Table 15E. Los Medanos Bone Sp
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E-37 Table 5. Expected Net Present
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Evaluation of Mineral Resources at
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I-I POTENTIAL INDUSTRIAL MINERAL RE
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The report, authored by C. M. Nethe
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With full access to the surface, th
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occurrences in the WIPP site for th
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depth of 1000 ft. Rustler gypsum un
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is 320 acres, (3) drilling restrict
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1120 acres. Based on hydrocarbon re
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ls of the crude oil (43%), 211 BCF
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obtained by use of a planimeter. Th
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1-19 Keesey, 1.1., 1979. (See Sipes
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Sipes, Williamson, and Aycock, 1977
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Table I. Evaluation of mineral reso
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Table I. (conL) Quantity present Pr
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1-27 Table 3. Effect of allowing th
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II-i TABLE OF CONTENTS ENVIRONMENTA
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II-ii New Mexicp Water Quality Act
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the Federal Register, National Arch
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II-4 U.S. Environmental Protection
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II-6 U.S. Environmental Protection
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• • • • Filing and other ad
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0-10 • Transfers (43 CFR 3106)
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Operations that involve subsurface
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Pennits. special reports. and fees
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RCRA Subtitle D - Solid Waste RCRA
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• National secondary drinking wat
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the withdrawal area that are leased
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• Notification requirements when
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New Mexico Naroral Resources Depamn
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Permits, special repons, and fees I
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II-28 Permits. special reports. and
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II-30 Operations that extract oil a
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industrial, commercial, mining, and
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• Prohibition on disposing of any
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References New Mexico Game and Fish
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Clean Air Act TABLE 1 hnpact level
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TABLE 1 hnpact level of statutes an
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TABLE 2 Impact level of statutes an
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FINAL REPORT Evaluation of Mineral
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Table 2. K 2 0 equivalent wt. % of
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The United States ranked fourth in
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have extensive sections of laminate
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poor potash deposits probably preci
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followed by froth flotation (Fig. 6
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Information Only III-ll Hayes P. T.
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III-13 Fig.!. Location of the Carls
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III-IS Figure 3. Diagrammatic north
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Fig. 5. Vertical cyclic sequences i
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Fig. 7. Simplified potash crystalli
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1lI-21 Table 2. KzO Equivalent wt.
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llI-23 Table 4. Potash Statistics f
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m-25 Table 6. General Mineralogy an
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IV-l FUTURE MI~lNG TECHNOLOGY Georg
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Along with the improvements listed
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Saskatchewan and in thick but highl
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V-i TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction
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Flotation chemistry Recently, non-e
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tures resulting in high salt solubi
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VI-ii Table 8. Case 1 - 4th ore zon
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Vl-2 of these three chemicals plus
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shows barrier pillars, but their us
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maintenance, and periodic replaceme
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Therefore, the engineering economic
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_J"L LJ::L.J DO DO ~ LJ L '"-':-:1.
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II IK'~II II Ṇ ... , ~ > . VI '-
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Vl-14 Table 1. Carlsbad Potash Prod
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Table 3. Salient potash l statistic
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Table 5. Case 1 - 4th ORE ZONE CASH
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u j u ~ uu iTIm!.g!c!~y•. ( j ~,t
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Table 13. Case 3 - 4th ORE ZONE CAS
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Table 15. Case 3 • 10th ORE ZONE
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_------._._ Table 17. Summary of En
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Table 19. Mining Life Versus Cut-of
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VII-i TABLE OF CONTENTS FORMULATION
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Information Only VII-iii Figure 32.
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VII-l MEmOD OF POTASH RESERVE EVALU
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Information Only VII-3 As mentioned
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VII-5 DEFINITIONS OF ORE RESERVES V
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Vll-7 hole records. That method can
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VII-9 tonnage factor equal to 14.8
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VlI-ll consistent with the known st
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VII-13 REFERENCES John, C. B., Chee
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VII-15 Table 2 Resources and reserv
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Table 4. In-ulace resources for oth
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Vll-19 2 6 5 4 3 2 ~..\d..J-.·· :
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VII-21 2 1 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 ·····
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0 -l: 0.0-0.5 0.5-1.0 1.0-1.5 1.5-2
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~ :::r ~o _. a. (1) .... C:::N ~o _
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Information Only :e =r »Q Q.CD --
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Information Only _. ~-:T >Q c.co cN
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Information Only 0.0-0.5 0.5-1.0 1.
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Information Only :e :::r ;x>° cN .
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Information Only 0.0-0.5 0.5-1.0 1.
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Figure 20 4th Ore Zone Equivalent L
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- L_' ••__1 ---' ~ .....__ I 16
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- I.-... __J __J k. _ 14 12 --- ---
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VTI-43 2 6 5 4 3 2 ,, , 2 M..,..---
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Vll-45 2 6 5 4 3 2 , 3 35 '36 •
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VII-47 2 6 5 4 3 2 , 4 25 -374 ~"1
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Information Only 6v-IlA o- ..... »
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Information Only o- ..... »::r .£
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0 - I\:l >< )( )( - - 0 0 0- CAl 0
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Information Only .... 9 >::T' .9:0
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Information Only -'" o »~ -enCl) .
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Information Only ~ a »st .9:0 -c:
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Information Only -L o »:T .Q;o c::
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Information Only ..... o »g. .9:0
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L.... I _ - , .. __J _....... -~ 25
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L . . ----.. - ___~J ~. J I ....,--
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Vll-69 2 6 5 4 3 2 • '34 .·--·
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Vll-71 2 6 5 4 3 2 '_'_,~L::~--L·~
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Vll-73 2 6 5 4 3 2 ~ l ----- ~~.~~~
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Vll·75 2 6 5 4 3 2 - --~';~_:~~~'"
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o Tons of Ore ~ N Co) ~ C1l en 0 0
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Information Only ~ =so CD ~ _'::J O
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Information Only (0-:T o.... CD _N
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Information Only
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Information Only ~ =r o.., co N o ~
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Information Only to-:T ọ .... CD
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L... ..- .. .J , ---' , ...-.. 30 2
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VIII-I VIII VALUATION OF POTASH RES
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VIII-3 With respect to actual explo
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VIII-5 the simulation include: All
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Information Only VIII-7 data were u
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VIII-9 Potash Simulation Example Ye
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Table 2. Expected revenue present v
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VIII-13 APPENDIX This Appendix cont
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VIII-IS Scenario 2, 15 % discount r
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VIII-17 Lang WIPP Site Data, Case 1
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VIII-19 Lang WIPP Site Data. Case 2
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VIII-23 Lang WIPP Site Dala, Case 1
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VIII-29 Sylvite WIPP Site Data, Sce
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VIII-31 Sylvite WIPP Site Data, Sce
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VIII-33 Lang Combined Area Data, Ca
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vm·35 Lang Combined Area Data, Cas
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Page 331 and 332:
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VIII-41 Lang Combined Data, Case 1,
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VIII-51 Sylvite Combined Area Data,
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VIII-53 Sylv~e Combined Area Data,
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VIII-55 Sylvite Combined Area Data,
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VIII-57 Lang Additional Area Data,
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VIII-59 Lang Addnional Area Data, C
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VIlI-61 Lang Additional Area Data,
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VIII-63 Lang Addition Data, Case 1,
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VIlI-69 Sylvite Additional Area Dat
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VIII-71 Sylvite Additional Area Dat
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Certificatioll _ We certify under p
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IX-i TABLE OF CONTENTS REGULATIONS
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egulations for drilling oil and gas
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IX-4 characteristics must be favora
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IX-6 ENERGY, STATE OF NEW MEX ICO M
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IX-8 -3- Case No. 9316 Order No. R-
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IX-lO -seaseNo. 931 6 Order No. R-I
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IX-12 -7- ea s e No. 9316 O~de~ No.
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IX-14 -9- Case No. 9316 Order No. R
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IX-16 -11 - Case No. 9316 Order No.
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IX-I8 -13- Ca s e No. 9316 Order No
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In attempting to accomplish. this,
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IX-22 provided by applicable laws a
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IX-24 the depth of the ore plus ten
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IX-26 IV. LQcation Qf Wells· and N
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IX-28 C. In the event the increased
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IX-30 -2- EXHIBIT "A" con'd Section
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IX-32 -u- EXHIBIT "A" eon'd LEA COU
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IX-34 -6- EXHIBIT "A" eon'd T~VNSHI
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IX-36 -7- EXHIBIT "A" eon"d EDDY CO
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J ' , IX-38 ( Friday November 18. 1
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- IX-40 . , '. Of: .m~la c ,.lha O.
Page 409 and 410:
-_...:-- IX-42 Federal Regisler I V
Page 411 and 412:
_-- -_.. ----_ ..-- ----- IX-44 , .
Page 413 and 414:
- ( ( Fedenl ltagistu / Vol. s.1. N
Page 415 and 416:
IX-48 Federal R~ster " Vol. 53, No,
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IX-50 i 1 I ""'""", Federal Ret-ste
Page 419 and 420:
I IX-52 Federal Register I Vol. 53.
Page 421 and 422:
•• .w :"-=~},~0\;!!'.I&4 ••
Page 423 and 424:
IX-56 CHECKLIST for ADMINISTRATIVE
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IX-58 Chapter IX REGULATIONS PERTAI
Page 427 and 428:
'" IX-60 2 ehe U.S. !DVlro~t&l lro
Page 429 and 430:
IX-62 Chapter IX REGULATIONS PERTAI
Page 431 and 432: IX-64 TABLE OF CONTENrS STATEMENT O
Page 433 and 434: IX-66 C. Wildlife The BLM shall: 1.
Page 435 and 436: IX-68 of the DOE (the contributing
Page 437 and 438: ~ ". ~ ~. ._ f - IX-70 ,. ,. If 9-
Page 439 and 440: IX-72 MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING B
Page 441 and 442: IX-74 c. Use avoidance as the prima
Page 443 and 444: IX-76 and oilleasts adjacent to the
Page 445 and 446: IX-78 2. The DOr ail"ee3 to: a. For
Page 447 and 448: Evaluation of Mineral Resources at
Page 449 and 450: THE PAST-DECADE DEVELOPJ.\ilENTS At
Page 451 and 452: The POC bits and POC cutter blank m
Page 453 and 454: X-5 Other applications are explorat
Page 455 and 456: X-7 optimum production, completion,
Page 457 and 458: Cement additives Research during th
Page 459 and 460: 1994). The productivity of a fractu
Page 461 and 462: Hydraulic fracturing - acidizing Th
Page 463 and 464: X-IS Concluding remarks Technology
Page 465 and 466: X-17 PennWell Books, Tulsa, OK, p.
Page 467 and 468: low-friction gauge PDC bits: Societ
Page 469 and 470: XI-i TABLE OF COl'iiENTS SUMMARY OF
Page 471 and 472: XI-iii Figure 14 Designated oil poo
Page 473 and 474: Xl·v and boundaries of designated
Page 475 and 476: Information Only XI-vii TABLES Tabl
Page 477 and 478: XI-2 will be produced from the deep
Page 479 and 480: Definitions Several basic definitio
Page 481: CCcJ.. From these projections. esti
Page 485 and 486: Information Only XI-IO made it poss
Page 487 and 488: XI-12 Canyon production is in the T
Page 489 and 490: Information Only XI-14 the east. In
Page 491 and 492: Information Only XI-16 (Fig. 25). U
Page 493 and 494: discovery wells . Developmentdrilli
Page 495 and 496: the middle part of the Cherry Canyo
Page 497 and 498: Information Only XI-22 of approxima
Page 499 and 500: The sucker rods move vertic;i"y up
Page 501 and 502: Information Only XI-26 The authigen
Page 503 and 504: XI-28 fore, stratigraphic traps str
Page 505 and 506: interbedded with dark basinal shale
Page 507 and 508: (Fig. 51, Table 2) with probable re
Page 509 and 510: XI-34 Two wells have drilled throug
Page 511 and 512: Xl-36 that no such structure, and h
Page 513 and 514: XI-38 REFERENCES Anderson, R., 1977
Page 515 and 516: Xl-40 Guidebook 44, pp. 175-184. Kl
Page 517 and 518: Worthington, R. E., 1994, East Shug
Page 519 and 520: Figure 12. Annual number of oil and
Page 521 and 522: XI-46 response of oil production to
Page 523 and 524: XI-48 additional study area. Separa
Page 525 and 526: XI-50 Producing provi~ce. "'" Nonpr
Page 527 and 528: XI-52 'f!'
Page 529 and 530: 1 '
Page 531 and 532: XI-56 A I I ,I . J- ~ 1 o eo 111Unt
Page 533 and 534:
XI-58 A no"" mIl o 0 Tubb t marl -
Page 535 and 536:
!I r--;-----;---"/"--:;--A;r:-;,...
Page 537 and 538:
300 "C CD 1i) 0.200 E o U tn 1.00 .
Page 539 and 540:
.... XI-64 ~45' 104·45' ·r·--·-
Page 541 and 542:
XI-66 t t t t slope into basin FEED
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XI-68 ~'r-~·'--,-----,--,--,4-r--"
Page 545 and 546:
XI-70 · · . ! ! i =:! .. , I .. ,
Page 547 and 548:
XI-n • + o ", .- .:.... • • .
Page 549 and 550:
XI-74 ~r_-':'-- " ,---.,.--.,...--r
Page 551 and 552:
'D tō-:>< Oil: Los Medanos-8and Du
Page 553 and 554:
XI-78 --'~r--'--"T--..,..--r--'i'--
Page 555 and 556:
XI-80 o 133/8" @ 600 fl 2,000 ! .c:
Page 557 and 558:
Paduca (Delaware) Field Annual Oil
Page 559 and 560:
~._- XI-84 Delaware Basin Northwest
Page 561 and 562:
XI-86 .,' . . 1-; ~. ~. / ./ 'jl .
Page 563 and 564:
XI-88 23 11 8 o o I .5 1ml ! ---- I
Page 565 and 566:
XI-90 • ft. _.. iJ ~ -t .... l..1
Page 567 and 568:
Cabin Lake Strawn; Phillips Petrole
Page 569 and 570:
XI-94 - I · · - . I · · · · "
Page 571 and 572:
XI..96 o 13·/.'@650ft 2,000 4,000
Page 573 and 574:
Los Medanos Atoka (Gas); Bass Enter
Page 575 and 576:
Los Medanos Morrow (Gas); Conoco, I
Page 577 and 578:
XI-102 . · . -, , .. 01''' I I " "
Page 579 and 580:
Los Medanos-Sand Dunes-Ingle Wells
Page 581 and 582:
Quahada Ridge Southeast (Lower Brus
Page 583 and 584:
Strawn Projected Future Annual Gas
Page 585 and 586:
Morrow Projected Future Annual Gas
Page 587 and 588:
TABLE 6. Surface and bottom-hole lo
Page 589 and 590:
Table 15A. Livingston Ridge Delawar
Page 591 and 592:
Table 15C. Cabin Lake Delaware pool
Page 593 and 594:
Table 15E. Los Medanos Bone Spring
Page 595 and 596:
TABLE 15F. (Continued) XI-131 Year
Page 597 and 598:
~ TABLE 15G. (Continued) XI~133 Yea
Page 599 and 600:
Table 16. Projected future annual o
Page 601 and 602:
XII-i TABLE OF CONTENTS SUMMARY RES
Page 603 and 604:
XII-2 additional area gas reserves
Page 605 and 606:
Key assumptions and features associ
Page 607 and 608:
contribute te alterations in the se
Page 609 and 610:
XII-8 160 Combined Area Oil Revenue
Page 611 and 612:
XII-IO 120 Combined Area Oil Revenu
Page 613 and 614:
XII-12 Combined Area Oil Cash Flow
Page 615 and 616:
XII-14 160 I 140 --r- I Combined Ar
Page 617 and 618:
Oil Simulation Example XII-16 Year
Page 619 and 620:
XII-18 Table 6. Expected revenue pr
Page 621 and 622:
XII-20 WIPP Site Gas. 10% discount
Page 623 and 624:
XII-22 WIPP Area Gas, 12.5% Royalti
Page 625 and 626:
XII-24 Additional Area Gas, 12.5% R
Page 627 and 628:
XIl-26 Combined Area Gas. 12.5% Roy
Page 629 and 630:
XII-28 WIPP Area Gas, 12.5% Royalti
Page 631 and 632:
XII-30 Additional Area Gas, 12.5% R
Page 633 and 634:
XII-32 Combined Area Gas. 12.5% Roy
Page 635 and 636:
XII-34 W1PP Site Gas Data, discount
Page 637 and 638:
XIl-36 Additional Area Gas Data, di
Page 639 and 640:
XII-38 Combined Area Gas Data, disc
Page 641 and 642:
XII-40 W1PP Site Gas Data. discount
Page 643 and 644:
XII-42 Additional Area Gas Data, di
Page 645 and 646:
XII-44 Combined Area Gas Data. disc
Page 647:
Information Only XII-46
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