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XII-2<br />

additional area gas reserves are estimated as $100 million and $100 million at 15%<br />

respectively. These data are also in" "Ie 6 and in the appendix. The E(NPV) for<br />

combined area gas reserves, basec)8 simulation runs, is estimated to be $200<br />

million, and is shown in Figure 2. TCllS nearly symmetrical distribution is slightly skewed<br />

to the right.<br />

The E(PV) for combined oil reserves is valued at about $510 million if a<br />

discount rate <strong>of</strong> 10% is used. Figure 3 depicts these data, and Figure 4 contains E(PV)<br />

data for combined gas reserves. The E(PV) for WIPP site oil reserves is estimated to be<br />

1700 million. Combined gas reserves have an estimated E(PV) <strong>of</strong> $270 million at 10%.<br />

WIPP site gas reserves have an estimated E(PV) <strong>of</strong> $130 million. The appendix provides<br />

detail regarding simulation results. The data are summarized in Table 7.<br />

With respect to actual exploration and development <strong>of</strong> oil and gas resources, the<br />

concern is the net pre:.

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