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Annual Report 2005 - Chubb Group of Insurance Companies

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In establishing toxic waste reserves, the exposure strengthening <strong>of</strong> loss reserves for commercial excess<br />

presented by each insured is evaluated. As part <strong>of</strong> this umbrella and other commercial liability classes. There<br />

evaluation, consideration is given to the probable liability, was signiÑcant reported loss activity during <strong>2005</strong> related<br />

available insurance coverage, judicial interpretations, past to these older accident years, which resulted in a lengthsettlement<br />

values <strong>of</strong> similar exposures as well as facts that ening <strong>of</strong> the expected loss emergence period for these<br />

are unique to each insured.<br />

classes. Favorable development <strong>of</strong> about $160 million was<br />

A reconciliation <strong>of</strong> the beginning and ending liability experienced due to fewer than expected late reported<br />

for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net <strong>of</strong> reinsurance homeowners and commercial property losses. Favorable<br />

recoverable, and a reconciliation <strong>of</strong> the net liability to the development <strong>of</strong> about $90 million was experienced in the<br />

corresponding liability on a gross basis is as follows: Ñdelity and surety classes due to lower than expected<br />

<strong>2005</strong> 2004 2003 reported loss emergence.<br />

(in millions) The net unfavorable development <strong>of</strong> $326.9 million in<br />

Gross liability, beginning <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏ $20,291.9 $17,947.8 $16,713.1 2004 was also the result <strong>of</strong> various factors. Unfavorable<br />

Reinsurance recoverable,<br />

beginning <strong>of</strong> yearÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 3,483.2 3,426.6 4,071.5 development <strong>of</strong> about $415 million was experienced in the<br />

Net liability, beginning <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏÏ 16,808.7 14,521.2 12,641.6 pr<strong>of</strong>essional liability classes, principally directors and <strong>of</strong>ficers<br />

liability and errors and omissions liability, resulting<br />

Net incurred losses and loss<br />

expenses related to<br />

from adverse loss trends in accident years 1998 through<br />

Current year ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 7,650.8 6,994.0 6,469.9 2002 due in large part to claims related to corporate<br />

Prior years ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 162.7 326.9 397.3<br />

failures and allegations <strong>of</strong> management misconduct and<br />

7,813.5 7,320.9 6,867.2<br />

accounting irregularities, especially those involving invest-<br />

Net payments for losses and loss<br />

expenses related to<br />

ment banks and other financial institutions. Unfavorable<br />

Current year ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 1,878.4 1,691.4 1,588.8 development <strong>of</strong> about $185 million was experienced re-<br />

Prior years ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 4,031.3 3,342.0 3,398.8 lated to accident years prior to 1995, including $75 million<br />

5,909.7 5,033.4 4,987.6 related to asbestos claims. Loss reserves were strengthened<br />

Net liability, end <strong>of</strong> yearÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 18,712.5 16,808.7 14,521.2 for certain commercial liability classes. Unfavorable devel-<br />

Reinsurance recoverable,<br />

end <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 3,769.2 3,483.2 3,426.6 opment <strong>of</strong> about $50 million was experienced in the<br />

workers' compensation class due primarily to higher aver-<br />

Gross liability, end <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏÏÏÏ $22,481.7 $20,291.9 $17,947.8<br />

age severity <strong>of</strong> the medical portion <strong>of</strong> these claims.<br />

The gross liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses<br />

Favorable development <strong>of</strong> about $270 million was experand<br />

reinsurance recoverable included $966.9 million and<br />

ienced related to the 2003 accident year, due in large part<br />

$755.8 million, respectively, at December 31, <strong>2005</strong> reand<br />

commercial property losses. Favorable development <strong>of</strong><br />

to an unusually low amount <strong>of</strong> late reported homeowners<br />

lated to Hurricane Katrina. The gross liability for unpaid<br />

losses and loss expenses and reinsurance recoverable<br />

$80 million was experienced due to a reduction in loss<br />

included $412.9 million and $353.8 million, respectively,<br />

reserves related to the September 11 attack.<br />

at December 31, <strong>2005</strong>, $700.5 million and $582.1 mil- The unfavorable development in 2003 was due primarily<br />

lion, respectively, at December 31, 2004, and $999.3 mil- to two factors. First, asbestos loss reserves were strengthlion<br />

and $748.2 million, respectively, at December 31, ened by $250 million. Second, unfavorable development <strong>of</strong><br />

2003 related to the September 11, 2001 attack. about $140 million was experienced in the pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

Because loss reserve estimates are subject to the outcome liability classes, principally directors and <strong>of</strong>ficers liability and<br />

<strong>of</strong> future events, changes in estimates are unavoidable given errors and omissions liability, as adverse loss trends in the<br />

that loss trends vary and time is required for changes in 2000 through 2002 accident years more than <strong>of</strong>fset<br />

trends to be recognized and confirmed. During <strong>2005</strong>, the favorable loss experience in older accident years.<br />

P&C <strong>Group</strong> experienced overall unfavorable development Management believes that the aggregate loss reserves<br />

<strong>of</strong> $162.7 million on net unpaid losses and loss expenses <strong>of</strong> the P&C <strong>Group</strong> at December 31, <strong>2005</strong> were adequate<br />

established as <strong>of</strong> the previous year end. This compares with to cover claims for losses that had occurred, including<br />

unfavorable prior year development <strong>of</strong> $326.9 million in both those known and those yet to be reported. In<br />

2004 and $397.3 million in 2003. Such adverse development establishing such reserves, management considers facts<br />

was reflected in operating results in these respective years. currently known and the present state <strong>of</strong> the law and<br />

The net unfavorable development <strong>of</strong> $162.7 million in coverage litigation. However, given the judicial decisions<br />

<strong>2005</strong> was due to various factors. Unfavorable develop- and legislative actions that have broadened the scope <strong>of</strong><br />

ment <strong>of</strong> about $200 million was experienced in the coverage and expanded theories <strong>of</strong> liability in the past<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>essional liability classes other than Ñdelity. Adverse and the possibilities <strong>of</strong> similar interpretations in the<br />

development related to accident years 1998 through future, particularly as they relate to asbestos claims and,<br />

2002, due largely to errors and omissions liability claims to a lesser extent, toxic waste claims, it is possible that<br />

related to corporate failures and allegations <strong>of</strong> manage- management's estimate <strong>of</strong> the ultimate liability for losses<br />

ment misconduct and accounting irregularities, was oÅset that occurred as <strong>of</strong> December 31, <strong>2005</strong> may increase in<br />

in part by favorable development related to accident future periods. Such increases in estimates could have a<br />

years 2003 and 2004. Unfavorable development <strong>of</strong> about material adverse eÅect on the Corporation's future oper-<br />

$175 million was experienced related to accident years ating results. However, management does not expect that<br />

prior to 1996, including $35 million related to asbestos any such increases would have a material adverse eÅect<br />

claims. The adverse development was due largely to the on the Corporation's consolidated Ñnancial condition.<br />

F-15

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