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Annual Report 2005 - Chubb Group of Insurance Companies

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alance sheets and superior underwriting ability, and we monitor the Ñnancial strength <strong>of</strong> our<br />

reinsurers on an ongoing basis. Nevertheless, in recent years, certain <strong>of</strong> our reinsurers have experienced<br />

Ñnancial diÇculties or exited the reinsurance business. In addition, we may become involved in<br />

coverage disputes with our reinsurers. A provision for estimated uncollectible reinsurance is recorded<br />

based on an evaluation <strong>of</strong> balances due from reinsurers, changes in the credit standing <strong>of</strong> the<br />

reinsurers, coverage disputes and other relevant factors.<br />

Prior Year Loss Development<br />

Because loss reserve estimates are subject to the outcome <strong>of</strong> future events, changes in estimates<br />

are unavoidable given that loss trends vary and time is required for changes in trends to be recognized<br />

and conÑrmed. Reserve changes that increase previous estimates <strong>of</strong> ultimate cost are referred to as<br />

unfavorable or adverse development or reserve strengthening. Reserve changes that decrease previous<br />

estimates <strong>of</strong> ultimate cost are referred to as favorable development or reserve releases.<br />

A reconciliation <strong>of</strong> our beginning and ending loss reserves, net <strong>of</strong> reinsurance, for the three years<br />

ended December 31, <strong>2005</strong> is as follows:<br />

<strong>2005</strong> 2004 2003<br />

(in millions)<br />

Net loss reserves, beginning <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ $16,809 $14,521 $12,642<br />

Net incurred losses and loss expenses related to<br />

Current yearÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 7,651 6,994 6,470<br />

Prior years ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 163 327 397<br />

7,814 7,321 6,867<br />

Net payments for losses and loss expenses related to<br />

Current yearÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 1,879 1,691 1,589<br />

Prior years ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ 4,031 3,342 3,399<br />

5,910 5,033 4,988<br />

Net loss reserves, end <strong>of</strong> year ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ $18,713 $16,809 $14,521<br />

During <strong>2005</strong>, we experienced overall unfavorable prior year development <strong>of</strong> $163 million, which<br />

represented 1.0% <strong>of</strong> the net loss reserves as <strong>of</strong> December 31, 2004. This compares with unfavorable<br />

prior year development <strong>of</strong> $327 million during 2004, which represented 2.3% <strong>of</strong> the net loss reserves at<br />

December 31, 2003, and $397 million during 2003, which represented 3.1% <strong>of</strong> the net loss reserves at<br />

December 31, 2002. Such adverse development was reÖected in operating results in these respective<br />

years.<br />

The net unfavorable development <strong>of</strong> $163 million in <strong>2005</strong> was due to various factors. The most<br />

signiÑcant were:<br />

‚We experienced net adverse development <strong>of</strong> about $200 million in the pr<strong>of</strong>essional liability<br />

classes other than Ñdelity. Adverse development related to accident years 1998 through 2002,<br />

due largely to errors and omissions liability claims related to corporate failures and allegations<br />

<strong>of</strong> management misconduct and accounting irregularities, was oÅset in part by favorable<br />

development related to accident years 2003 and 2004.<br />

‚We experienced adverse development <strong>of</strong> about $175 million related to accident years prior to<br />

1996, including $35 million related to asbestos claims. The adverse development was due largely<br />

to our strengthening loss reserves for commercial excess/umbrella and other commercial<br />

liability classes. There was signiÑcant reported loss activity during <strong>2005</strong> related to these older<br />

accident years, which caused us to extend the expected loss emergence period for these classes.<br />

46

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