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292 STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING<br />

It is not quite clear if capacity increases can take on any values, or just some<br />

predefined ones. Also, the cost structure <strong>of</strong> the possible investments are not<br />

yet clear. Even so, we are asked to analyse the problem, and create a better<br />

basis for decisions.<br />

The first thing we must do, to use the procedures <strong>of</strong> this chapter, is to<br />

make sure that, technically speaking, we have a network (as defined at the<br />

start <strong>of</strong> the chapter). A close look will reveal that a network must have equality<br />

constraints at the node, i.e. flow in must equal flow out. That is not the case<br />

in our little network. If City 3 has spare capacity, we do not have to send<br />

extra sewage to the city, we simply leave the capacity unused if we do not<br />

need it. The simplest way to take care <strong>of</strong> this is to introduce some new arcs<br />

in the network. They are shown with dotted lines in Figure 10. Finally, to<br />

have supply equal to demand in the network (remember from Proposition 6.1<br />

that this is needed for feasibility), we let the external flow in node 4 be the<br />

negative <strong>of</strong> the sum <strong>of</strong> external flows in the other three nodes.<br />

You may wonder if this rewriting makes sense. What does it mean when<br />

“sewage” is sent along a dotted line in the figure The simple answer is that<br />

the amount exactly equals the unused capacity in the city to which the arc<br />

goes. (Of course, with the given numbers, we realize that no arc will be needed<br />

from node 4 to node 1, but we have chosen to add it for completeness.)<br />

Now, to learn something about our problem, let us apply Proposition 6.2<br />

to arrive at a number <strong>of</strong> inequalities. You may find it useful to try to write<br />

them down. We shall write down only some <strong>of</strong> them. The reason for leaving<br />

out some is the following observation: any node set Y that is such that Q +<br />

contains a dotted arc from Figure 10 will be uninteresting, because<br />

a(Q + ) T γ = ∞,<br />

so that the inequality says nothing interesting. The remaining inequalities are<br />

as follows (where we have used that all existing pipes have a capacity <strong>of</strong> 5 per<br />

unit time).<br />

⎫<br />

β 1 ≤ 10 + x 1 + x 3 + x 4 ,<br />

β 2 ≤ 10 + x 1 + x 2 ,<br />

β 3 ≤ 5 + x 3 , ⎪⎬<br />

β 1 + β 2 + β 3 ≤ 10 + x 1 + x 3 + x 4 ,<br />

(4.1)<br />

β 1 + β 2 ≤ 15 + x 1 + x 2 + x 3 + x 4 ,<br />

β 1 + β 3 ≤ 10 + x 1 + x 3 + x 4 , ⎪⎭<br />

β 2 + β 3 ≤ 10 + x 1 + x 3 .<br />

Letusfirstnotethatifwesetallx i = 0 in (4.1), we end up with a number<br />

<strong>of</strong> constraints that are not satisfied for all possible values <strong>of</strong> β. Hence, as we<br />

already know, there is presently a chance that sewage will be dumped.<br />

However, our interest is mainly to find out about which investments to<br />

make. Let us therefore rewrite (4.1) in terms <strong>of</strong> x i rather than β i :

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