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Putting it to Work in Developing Countries - Nathan Associates

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Further, home country tax policies can have an impact<br />

on the re<strong>in</strong>vested earn<strong>in</strong>gs component of FDI, as U.S.<br />

experience under the Homeland Investment Act of<br />

2004 demonstrates. See Chapter 3, Sources of FDI for<br />

Develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Countries</strong> and footnote 6.<br />

CHAPTER 2<br />

1 This typology of FDI flows from the perspective of<br />

the enterprise is based on 1997 deliberations of the<br />

WTO’s <strong>Work</strong><strong>in</strong>g Group on Trade and Investment. See<br />

WTO, Document WT/WGTI/W/8/Add.1,<br />

“Implications of the Relationship between Trade and<br />

Investment for Development and Economic Growth.”<br />

2 See WIR 2002, pp. 154–157.<br />

3 Unilateral and reciprocal preferential trade arrangements<br />

enlarge the effective size of develop<strong>in</strong>g country<br />

markets. The Un<strong>it</strong>ed States grants unilateral or one-way<br />

trade preferences <strong>in</strong> such programs as the Generalized<br />

System of Preferences, the African Growth and<br />

Opportun<strong>it</strong>y Act (AGOA), and the Caribbean Bas<strong>in</strong><br />

Trade Preference Act (CBTPA). The European Union<br />

grants preferences through <strong>it</strong>s Everyth<strong>in</strong>g But Arms<br />

(EBA) program. Japan, Canada, and other developed<br />

countries offer similar arrangements. Under unilateral<br />

preference programs, products orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries are granted special quota or tariff access.<br />

Such programs often restrict certa<strong>in</strong> products of <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

<strong>to</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g country exporters, must be renewed<br />

periodically, and can be revoked at any time by the<br />

grant<strong>in</strong>g country. Two or more trade partners may<br />

negotiate an arrangement <strong>in</strong> which they grant reciprocal<br />

preferences that are not necessarily permanent. By<br />

contrast, trade agreements between countries are b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

cannot be revoked unilaterally w<strong>it</strong>hout penalty,<br />

and do not require periodic renewal.<br />

4 Specialists <strong>in</strong> the World Bank’s Foreign Investment<br />

Advisory Services note that “FDI is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly market<br />

seek<strong>in</strong>g … offer<strong>in</strong>g opportun<strong>it</strong>ies <strong>to</strong> any country will<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>to</strong> open <strong>it</strong>s markets or <strong>in</strong>tegrate w<strong>it</strong>h <strong>it</strong>s neighbors.”<br />

See V<strong>in</strong>cent Palmade and Andrea Anayiotas, “FDI<br />

Trends,” Public Policy for the Private Sec<strong>to</strong>r, September<br />

2004, p. 3. Indeed, s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1980s, market-seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />

FDI stimulated by regional trade arrangements appears<br />

<strong>to</strong> have <strong>in</strong>creased substantially, particularly where lesser<br />

developed and more developed countries are part of the<br />

same regional trade group.<br />

5 This is known as the “ladder effect.” For example, <strong>in</strong><br />

the late 1980s and early 1990s, labor-<strong>in</strong>tensive manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> electronics or <strong>in</strong>dustrial equipment migrated<br />

rapidly from the Un<strong>it</strong>ed States and Europe <strong>to</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a. As costs began <strong>to</strong> rise <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong> the mid­<br />

1990s, these operations shifted <strong>to</strong> other lower wage<br />

locations <strong>in</strong> Asia. At the same time, a wave of more<br />

complex, value-added components manufactur<strong>in</strong>g cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />

<strong>to</strong> move out of U.S. and European fac<strong>to</strong>ries <strong>to</strong><br />

these now more experienced but far less costly Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

manufactur<strong>in</strong>g facil<strong>it</strong>ies, replac<strong>in</strong>g the manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sent on <strong>to</strong> South or Southeast Asia.<br />

6 Of course, global production networks and value<br />

cha<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>in</strong> services can be set up<br />

by equ<strong>it</strong>y (FDI) and nonequ<strong>it</strong>y means (outsourc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

through subcontract<strong>in</strong>g). Where FDI leads <strong>to</strong> the creation<br />

of foreign affiliates for a parent mult<strong>in</strong>ational<br />

enterprise, vertical <strong>in</strong>tegration of production is ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed.<br />

In general, where absolute lowest-cost labor<br />

motivates a mult<strong>in</strong>ational’s efficiency-seek<strong>in</strong>g (e.g., <strong>in</strong><br />

textiles or footwear), subcontract<strong>in</strong>g may be the mechanism<br />

of choice; where some technology and skilled<br />

labor <strong>in</strong>puts figure more <strong>in</strong> the production process, an<br />

FDI-based approach may be preferred.<br />

7 Lenovo Group chairman Liu Chuanzhi quoted <strong>in</strong> the<br />

New York Times, December 25, 2004.<br />

8 For example, FDI <strong>in</strong> such extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries as<br />

m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, quarry<strong>in</strong>g and petroleum is largely resourceseek<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

while FDI <strong>in</strong> au<strong>to</strong>motive manufactur<strong>in</strong>g is<br />

likely efficiency-seek<strong>in</strong>g, and <strong>in</strong> service <strong>in</strong>dustries such<br />

as f<strong>in</strong>ance or electric<strong>it</strong>y, gas, and water, <strong>it</strong> is probably<br />

market-seek<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

9 Ample empirical research shows how FDI’s favorable<br />

impact on domestic <strong>in</strong>vestment affects cap<strong>it</strong>al accumulation.<br />

Other external resource <strong>in</strong>flows (i.e., portfolio<br />

equ<strong>it</strong>y or debt) <strong>to</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries often fuel higher<br />

consumption or growth of foreign exchange reserves,<br />

but an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> FDI appears <strong>to</strong> end up as a one-<strong>to</strong>one<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> real sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>in</strong>vestment. See Bosworth<br />

and Coll<strong>in</strong>s, “Cap<strong>it</strong>al Flows <strong>to</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g Economies:<br />

Implications for Sav<strong>in</strong>gs and Investment.” And, contrary<br />

<strong>to</strong> fears that FDI-f<strong>in</strong>anced foreign affiliates borrow<br />

heavily from host-country banks and “crowd out”<br />

local firms, exacerbat<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g constra<strong>in</strong>ts, there is<br />

evidence that FDI eases constra<strong>in</strong>ts. This holds true for<br />

high- and low-<strong>in</strong>come countries, and for purely domestic<br />

firms. See Ann E. Harrison, Inessa Love, and<br />

Margaret S. McMillan, “Global Cap<strong>it</strong>al Flows and<br />

F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g Constra<strong>in</strong>ts,” Journal of Development<br />

Economics, 75 (2004). Most dramatically, by stimulat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

complementary economic activ<strong>it</strong>ies, FDI may<br />

“crowd <strong>in</strong>” domestic <strong>in</strong>vestment by an estimated fac<strong>to</strong>r<br />

of 1.5 <strong>to</strong> 2.3. See E. Borenszte<strong>in</strong>, J. De Gregorio, and<br />

J-W Lee, “How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect<br />

Economic Growth” Journal of International Economics<br />

45 (1998). Another recent study concludes that FDI is<br />

less likely <strong>to</strong> crowd out and more likely <strong>to</strong> crowd <strong>in</strong><br />

domestic <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries than <strong>in</strong><br />

developed ones. It f<strong>in</strong>ds that research lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> a contrary<br />

result may derive from <strong>in</strong>appropriate pool<strong>in</strong>g of<br />

data across develop<strong>in</strong>g and developed economies. See<br />

Bruce A. Blonigen and Miao Grace Wong,<br />

“Inappropriate Pool<strong>in</strong>g of Wealthy and Poor <strong>Countries</strong><br />

92

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