Putting it to Work in Developing Countries - Nathan Associates
Putting it to Work in Developing Countries - Nathan Associates
Putting it to Work in Developing Countries - Nathan Associates
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3. TRENDS AND PATTERNS <br />
IN FDI FLOWS<br />
Foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>flows <strong>to</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g distribution <strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world is uneven,<br />
countries rose more than seven-fold <strong>in</strong> the by country, by countries grouped by <strong>in</strong>come<br />
1990s, then decl<strong>in</strong>ed significantly <strong>in</strong> the first level, and by major region. Recogniz<strong>in</strong>g FDI’s<br />
years of the new century as the world economy broad patterns and geography is essential <strong>to</strong><br />
slowed and FDI flows from developed countries understand<strong>in</strong>g how FDI f<strong>it</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
collapsed. FDI activ<strong>it</strong>y has been recover<strong>in</strong>g, and world, and <strong>to</strong> establish<strong>in</strong>g a context for analyzoverall<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g world <strong>in</strong>flows rapidly reached <strong>in</strong>g future flows.<br />
new highs. Beh<strong>in</strong>d such general trends, FDI’s<br />
Evolution of FDI <strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Countries</strong><br />
1990–2000. The steady <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> volume of<br />
flow <strong>to</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries was eclipsed by<br />
a phenomenal rise <strong>in</strong> flows between devel<br />
oped countries. Service sec<strong>to</strong>r FDI flows <strong>to</strong><br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries rise gradually <strong>to</strong> 40 percent<br />
of FDI by 1999. The shares of Asia<br />
(especially Ch<strong>in</strong>a) <strong>in</strong> manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
Lat<strong>in</strong> America <strong>in</strong> services and util<strong>it</strong>ies also<br />
rose. Africa rema<strong>in</strong>ed marg<strong>in</strong>alized.<br />
2001–2006. FDI <strong>in</strong>flows decreased w<strong>it</strong>h<br />
worldwide recession after the “dot-com”<br />
crash. All FDI activ<strong>it</strong>y dropped severely, and<br />
then rebounded after 2003, w<strong>it</strong>h record high<br />
<strong>in</strong>flows achieved by 2005 for develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries <strong>in</strong> all regions but Lat<strong>in</strong> America.<br />
Early data suggest that <strong>in</strong>flows have cont<strong>in</strong><br />
ued <strong>to</strong> rise <strong>in</strong> 2006.<br />
Pre-1950. Two-thirds of FDI s<strong>to</strong>ck was <strong>in</strong><br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, especially Lat<strong>in</strong> America<br />
and the Caribbean, and dom<strong>in</strong>ated by extractive<br />
and commod<strong>it</strong>y-type <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />
1950–1970. Flows between developed coun<br />
tries, especially across the Atlantic, <strong>in</strong>creased.<br />
Extractive and commod<strong>it</strong>y FDI flows <strong>to</strong><br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries cont<strong>in</strong>ued, but w<strong>it</strong>h a<br />
gradual rise <strong>in</strong> market-seek<strong>in</strong>g manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
FDI. By 1970 develop<strong>in</strong>g countries absorbed<br />
one-third of global FDI s<strong>to</strong>ck.<br />
1970–1990. Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries <strong>in</strong>creased, but develop-<br />
<strong>in</strong>g countries’ share of global FDI s<strong>to</strong>cks<br />
decl<strong>in</strong>ed from 40 percent <strong>in</strong> 1985 <strong>to</strong> 25 percent<br />
<strong>in</strong> 1990.<br />
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