COPY OF FINAL PROSPECTUS - Mirabela Nickel
COPY OF FINAL PROSPECTUS - Mirabela Nickel
COPY OF FINAL PROSPECTUS - Mirabela Nickel
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THE NICKEL MARKET<br />
The following summary is based in its entirety upon the Base Metals Market Briefing Report dated March 7,<br />
2007 by GFMS Metals Consulting. All opinions, expectations and estimates contained in the following summary<br />
are solely those of GFMS Metals Consulting. Although the Company believes that this report is reliable, the<br />
accuracy and completeness of such information has not been independently verified. See also ‘‘Forward-Looking<br />
Statements’’ and ‘‘Risk Factors’’.<br />
<strong>Nickel</strong> is mostly used for the production of stainless steel, the demand for which depends largely on the<br />
global economy. <strong>Nickel</strong> is mined from sulphide and laterite ores. The world’s main sulphide deposits are located<br />
in Australia, Canada, Russia and Southern Africa and laterite deposits are located principally in Western<br />
Australia, New Caledonia, Indonesia, Colombia, Cuba, Venezuela, Brazil and the Dominican Republic.<br />
Supply and Demand<br />
Despite record levels of production in 2006, world consumption of primary nickel grew by approximately<br />
7.1% to 1,373,000 tonnes with growth concentrated in China. Chinese imports of nickel are rising sharply and<br />
this trend is expected to continue given the large increase in stainless steel melting capacity that is underway<br />
in China.<br />
WORLD PRIMARY NICKEL CONSUMPTION<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 (2)<br />
(000s)<br />
Total Africa ................................. 44 50 51 51<br />
China ..................................... 160 190 220 245<br />
India ..................................... 27 28 31 33<br />
Japan ..................................... 192 180 185 185<br />
South Korea ................................ 103 105 110 112<br />
Taiwan .................................... 86 90 95 95<br />
Other Asia ................................. 12 13 8 20<br />
Total Asia .................................. 581 606 649 690<br />
Belgium ................................... 42 43 44 44<br />
Finland .................................... 60 57 60 60<br />
Germany ................................... 100 96 103 105<br />
Italy ...................................... 62 63 66 63<br />
Spain ..................................... 45 46 51 52<br />
Other Europe ................................ 156 149 162 164<br />
Total Europe ................................ 423 411 442 444<br />
USA ..................................... 128 120 130 128<br />
Other Americas .............................. 36 37 39 41<br />
Total Americas ............................... 164 157 169 169<br />
Global Total (1) ............................... 1,262 1,282 1,373 1,421<br />
Notes<br />
(1) Including Oceania<br />
(2) Estimate<br />
Source: World Bureau of Metal Statistics, INSG & GFMS Metals Consulting<br />
As Inco Limited’s Voisey’s Bay nickel mine moves towards production capacity, it is anticipated that the<br />
nickel market will be required to absorb higher production.<br />
Assuming no surprise supply disruptions, GFMS Metals Consulting forecasts a 6% growth in production in<br />
2007. Despite this increased production, GFMS Metals Consulting predicts a deficit in the supply of nickel of<br />
approximately 10,000 tonnes in 2007 followed by a modest surplus in 2008.<br />
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