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Annual Accounts and Report as at 30 June 2011 Draft - Mediobanca

Annual Accounts and Report as at 30 June 2011 Draft - Mediobanca

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2.2 INTEREST RATE AND PRICE RISK - BANKING BOOKQUALITATIVE INFORMATIONInterest r<strong>at</strong>e risk on the banking book continues to be stronglyinfluenced by the presence of a sizeable bond trading portfolio (equal toaround 25% of the total <strong>as</strong>sets of <strong>Mediobanca</strong> S.p.A.). This gener<strong>at</strong>es amism<strong>at</strong>ch between the banking book’s <strong>as</strong>sets <strong>and</strong> liabilities, accentu<strong>at</strong>ing thedifference between an incre<strong>as</strong>e/decre<strong>as</strong>e in interest r<strong>at</strong>es on the bankingbook alone, compared to th<strong>at</strong> for the Group’s entire <strong>as</strong>set structure.Compared to l<strong>as</strong>t year, when the overall picture w<strong>as</strong> substantiallybalanced (with a slight positive correl<strong>at</strong>ion between net interest income<strong>and</strong> interest r<strong>at</strong>es), the incre<strong>as</strong>ed weight of fixed-income securities in thebanking book accentu<strong>at</strong>ed the neg<strong>at</strong>ive impact which a 100 b<strong>as</strong>is pointincre<strong>as</strong>e in the yield curves would have on it, thus reversing the overallexposure. Indeed, the loss now on the banking book deriving from a rise ininterest r<strong>at</strong>es would amount to €84.9m (<strong>as</strong> against €59m l<strong>as</strong>t year), only inpart offset by the €60.4m gain on the trading book (down from €65m l<strong>as</strong>tyear), gener<strong>at</strong>ing a net loss of €24.5m. Conversely, the general rise ininterest r<strong>at</strong>es reduced the mism<strong>at</strong>ch in the c<strong>as</strong>e of a shock in the oppositedirection: a 100 b<strong>as</strong>is point reduction in the curve produces an overall profitof €24.1m, representing the balance between an €84.7m gain on the bankingbook <strong>and</strong> a €60.6m loss on the trading book.In addition to the sensitivity of net interest income to interest r<strong>at</strong>es, theimpact which a 100 b<strong>as</strong>is point shock would have on the discounted value offuture c<strong>as</strong>h flows from the banking book h<strong>as</strong> also been estim<strong>at</strong>ed. In thisc<strong>as</strong>e, the incre<strong>as</strong>e in the weight of fixed-income securities mentioned aboveis offset by a reduction in their average dur<strong>at</strong>ion, which, however, is notsufficient to prevent the aggreg<strong>at</strong>e <strong>as</strong>set value remaining above th<strong>at</strong> of theliabilities. This explains why an upward movement in the interest r<strong>at</strong>e curvesgener<strong>at</strong>es a loss on the banking book’s discounted value amounting to€91.9m (compared with €99m l<strong>as</strong>t year). As is the c<strong>as</strong>e with net interestincome, here too the mism<strong>at</strong>ch in the event of a reduction in interest r<strong>at</strong>esh<strong>as</strong> reduced, with a gain of €91.6m compared with €90m <strong>as</strong> <strong>at</strong> <strong>30</strong> <strong>June</strong>2010.– 391

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