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Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

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RUSSIAN LANGUAGE PERSPECTIVES: RESURGENT AND DIVERSIFIEDLengthFIGURE 41. RUSSIAN LANGUAGE PARAMETERS: LENGTHRussian studies also pay little attention to how long conflicts might last.Those that do focus on this aspect tend see future conflicts as last<strong>in</strong>gmostly for months and (less) days.‘Wars <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> future can beg<strong>in</strong> andconclude with an almost cont<strong>in</strong>uous air-space <strong>of</strong>fensive operation <strong>in</strong>conjunction with <strong>the</strong> operation (actions) strike capabilities <strong>of</strong> navalforces and operations <strong>of</strong> electronic warfare. The duration <strong>of</strong> such a jo<strong>in</strong>toperation will be <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> order 60-90 days or more, which surpasses allcurrent standards’. 140The follow<strong>in</strong>g study sees <strong>the</strong> duration <strong>of</strong> future conflict ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong>m<strong>in</strong>utes: ‘The most important feature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> future <strong>of</strong> NATO’s war with anuclear power (Russia) will seem<strong>in</strong>gly be its speed. If it proves impossibleto trigger a ‘disarm<strong>in</strong>g strike’ – i.e. to neutralize <strong>the</strong> nuclear deterrent140 Vladimir Slipchenko, ‘Vojna budushhego (prognosticheskij analiz)’ [War <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Future(Prognostic Analysis)], 2001, http://bookap.<strong>in</strong>fo/psywar/slipchenco/load/doc.shtm.106 <strong>Contours</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Conflict</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 21 st <strong>Century</strong>

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