12.07.2015 Views

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

ENGLISH LANGUAGE PERSPECTIVES: VIBRANT AND ETHNOCENTRICLengthFIGURE 28. ENGLISH LANGUAGE PARAMETERS: LENGTHOverall, <strong>the</strong> English language foresight literature does not devotesubstantial attention to <strong>the</strong> potential time span <strong>of</strong> future conflicts. With<strong>in</strong>this sidebar discussion, <strong>the</strong>re was, however, a substantial difference <strong>of</strong>op<strong>in</strong>ion. The views were such that certa<strong>in</strong> experts expect future conflictsto take years to settle (diffused conflicts, state-based stalemate conflicts,or conflicts outside <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> physical doma<strong>in</strong> (e.g., <strong>the</strong> return <strong>the</strong> 16th-17th ‘bankrupt <strong>the</strong> opponent’ mode <strong>of</strong> conflict). With<strong>in</strong> this view, onecommonly heard claim was that ‘we are <strong>in</strong> an era <strong>of</strong> persistent conflict’. 87Alternatively, o<strong>the</strong>r experts suggested that future conflicts would lastmerely m<strong>in</strong>utes, possibly reflect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> chang<strong>in</strong>g nature <strong>of</strong> conflict <strong>in</strong>an era <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong> conduct <strong>of</strong> conflict will be dom<strong>in</strong>ated by advancedtechnologies. 88 The military sees <strong>the</strong> future length <strong>of</strong> conflict as still be<strong>in</strong>gmeasured <strong>in</strong> years.87 Dannatt, ‘A Perspective on <strong>the</strong> Nature <strong>of</strong> Future <strong>Conflict</strong>.’88 Barry D. Watts, ‘Clausewitzian Friction and Future War’ (National Defense University, 1996),http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/ndu/mcnair52.pdf.78<strong>Contours</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Conflict</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 21 st <strong>Century</strong>

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!