Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

ANNEx A – QUOTES DRIVERSwill be utilized to regulate core conflict in the future’. 263‘Multilateral institutions exist, and can be expanded, that can prevent or repressmany lower-level kinds of warfare. They can supply mediation, conflict resolution,and peace building. They can also provide the deterrence and enforcement needed toprevent some wars’. 264Public Involvement‘And the complexity of the information environment can only increase. Inoperations where we compete for influence of the people, we must invert ourcurrent understanding and view these operations first and foremost as informationcampaigns and supported by wider military operations, rather than the other wayround’. 265‘The loss of the state’s monopoly on war and on the first loyalty of its citizens andthe rise of non-state entities that command people’s primary loyalty and that wagewar. These entities may be gangs, religions, races and ethnic groups within races,localities, tribes, business enterprises, ideologies—the variety is almost limitless’. 266‘In these unhappy struggles, the developed democracies typically will seek reasonsnot to intervene. But as we have seen already, media-generated public revulsion maycompel intervention. The visual horrors of genocide may be intolerable’. 267‘Forth is a goal of collapsing the enemy internally rather than physically destroyinghim. Targets will include such things as the population’s support for the war and theenemy’s culture. Correct identification of enemy strategic centers of gravity will behighly important’. 268‘It is also even more important nowadays to take into account a global opposition,since the information revolution has made it possible for nearly everyone to acquire263 Ibid., 40-41.264 Dannatt, ‘A Perspective on the Nature of Future Conflict,’ 180.265 Dannatt, ‘A Perspective on the Nature of Future Conflict.’266 Malik, ‘The Sources and Nature of Future Conflicts in the Asia-Pacific Region.’267 Karp, Karp, and Terriff, Global Insurgency and the Future of Armed Conflict Debating Fourth-Generation Warfare.268 Coker, The Future of War: The Re-Enchantment of War in the Twenty-First Century, 15.HCSS Report 203