Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

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CROSS-LANGUAGE DOMAIN PERSPECTIVESEnglish-language domain only put it in the 5 th position), while bothEnglish and Russian sources put military technology in their top-3(and the Chinese studies put it in 6 th position).7.3 Main Take-Aways Cross-Language DomainThe global picture together with the cross language comparison revealsthe existence of a livid and lively debate on the future nature of conflict.Remarkable differences emerge between the various language domainsboth substantively as well as in style and quality – of the writing, researchand sources. The Arab future of conflict discourse was meager anddisappointing on both counts. Most striking is the presentist focus ofthe Arabic language debate. The Chinese studies showed a remarkableamount of diversity, with distinct views on a range of aspects of the futureof conflict. The English foresight set is uniquely rich and deep, albeitrather ethnocentric, with no sign of any knowledge amongst experts inthis domain of the views of other language domains. The Russiansecurity community is resurging and articulates its opinions forcefullyand publicly. It is our conviction that the current study clearly denotesthe tremendous value of going beyond language boundaries in assessingthe future nature of conflict.Substantively speaking, our analysis of the various language domainswarrants the following main take-aways from global views on the futurenature of conflict:• A wider variety in actor types is likely to participate in conflict fromwhich new and unexpected coalitions across various types of actorsmay emerge;• The conflict spectrum is perceived to be significantly broadened withconflict expected to venture out to non-kinetic domains;• Unsurprisingly, cyber space and space are increasingly seen as likelydomains of future conflict. How this will precisely affect the nature ofconflict remains subject of heavy speculation;• Further down the road, the human terrain is thought to become abattlefront in itself, as a result of scientific developments which are asof yet difficult to imagine let alone predict;• Meanwhile, conflict in the traditional domains sea-land-air is by nomeans expected to be obsolete across the board;140 Contours of Conflict in the 21 st Century
CROSS-LANGUAGE DOMAIN PERSPECTIVES• In line with the expansion of domains, actors will likely employ abroader toolset in the conduct of conflict;• Partly as a result of these developments, future conflict may becomeincreasingly blurred, with neither a clear ending or beginning, nora clear understanding of the precise opponents in a conflict;Military technology, globalization, strategic orientation and the role andpower of the state are seen to be driving the future (nature of) conflict indivergent ways.HCSS Report 141
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Contours of Conflict in the 21 st C
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The Hague Centre for Strategic Stud
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TABLE OF CONTENTSTable of ContentsT
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TABLE OF FIGURESTable of FiguresFig
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12 Contours of Conflict in the 21 s
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FUTURE NATURE OF CONFLICT PROjECT O
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16 Contours of Conflict in the 21 s
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOLThe studies th
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOLnumber of esta
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOL2.3 Collection
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOLholds that the
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOL• Parameters
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOLImpetus for Co
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOL• Climate Ch
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOLThe HCSS team
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THE METAFORE PROTOCOL2.5 CogitateOn
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CHINESE LANGUAGE PERSPECTIVES: TRAD
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ENGLISH LANGUAGE PERSPECTIVES: VIBR
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RUSSIAN LANGUAGE PERSPECTIVES: RESU
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Page 143 and 144: CONCLUSION: WHAT DO WE TAkE AWAy FR
Page 149 and 150: BIBLIOGRAPHyBibliographyAbasee, Dr.
Page 151 and 152: BIBLIOGRAPHyAqud, Ibrahim. 'Alsra
Page 153 and 154: BIBLIOGRAPHyBlack, Jeremy. War and
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Page 187 and 188: ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSAnnex A - Q
Page 189 and 190: ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSbe interdep
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSstandards o
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSbattlefield
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERS‘For exam
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERScould gener
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSStrategic R
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSincreases l
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSwill be uti
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERS‘For exam
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSwithin 100
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERS‘By all m
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERS‘In reali
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSstrengthene
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ANNEx A - QUOTES DRIVERSworld syste
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ANNEx B - LIST OF STUDIES INCLUDED
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The Hague Centrefor Strategic Studi
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