12.07.2015 Views

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

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CROSS-LANGUAGE DOMAIN PERSPECTIVESGlobal drivers – Rank FIGURE 53. GLOBAL DRIVERS – RANkThis figure illustrates <strong>the</strong> rank order for each driver for each languagedoma<strong>in</strong>, aga<strong>in</strong> ordered from left to right <strong>in</strong> cumulative decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g order.To give an example: <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong> future military technology is <strong>the</strong> topdriver <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> English, <strong>the</strong> third one <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Russian but only <strong>the</strong> 6 th one <strong>in</strong><strong>the</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>ese studies.The figure shows – <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with <strong>the</strong> previous one – that <strong>the</strong> overall topdrivers vary quite widely across <strong>the</strong> different language doma<strong>in</strong>s – onlydemographic factors and fragmentation get virtually <strong>the</strong> same rank <strong>in</strong>all 3 language doma<strong>in</strong>s (but nei<strong>the</strong>r are that high up on <strong>the</strong> list).Whereas <strong>the</strong> previous figure (which merely illustrates how <strong>of</strong>ten driverswere mentioned) showed that language doma<strong>in</strong>s sometimes tended tocluster on an ad-hoc basis, this figure shows that when we look at <strong>the</strong>actual rank order beh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>the</strong> frequency count, doma<strong>in</strong>s tend to differmore. In <strong>the</strong> overall top 6 drivers, for <strong>in</strong>stance, only globalization saw<strong>the</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>ese and <strong>the</strong> Russian studies attribut<strong>in</strong>g it a top-3 rank<strong>in</strong>g (<strong>the</strong>HCSS Report 139

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