Applications of state space models in finance
Applications of state space models in finance
Applications of state space models in finance
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5.3 Multivariate conditional heteroskedasticity 77<br />
5.3.1.2 The diagonal vech model<br />
The diagonal vech model is a first way to restrict Equation (5.47) and to reduce the<br />
number <strong>of</strong> parameters. Bollerslev et al. (1988) restrict the matrices Γ ∗ and ∆ ∗ to be<br />
diagonal such that the conditional covariance between ɛ1,t and ɛ2,t depends only on<br />
lagged cross-products <strong>of</strong> the residuals and its own lagged value. In this specification,<br />
each element <strong>of</strong> the conditional covariance matrix follows a univariate GARCH(1,1)<br />
model:<br />
hij,t = ωij + γijɛi,t−1ɛj,t−1 + δijhij,t−1, (5.49)<br />
where ωij, γij and δij denote the ij-th element <strong>of</strong> the symmetric N ×N matrices Ω, Γ and<br />
∆, respectively. The latter two matrices are implicitly def<strong>in</strong>ed by Γ ∗ = diag(vech(Γ))<br />
and ∆ ∗ = diag(vech(∆)). 16 Follow<strong>in</strong>g D<strong>in</strong>g and Engle (2001) the diagonal vech model<br />
can be expressed <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> the Hadamard product, 17 denoted by ⊙:<br />
Ht = Ω + Γ ⊙ ɛt−1ɛ ′ t−1 + ∆ ⊙ Ht−1, (5.50)<br />
The number <strong>of</strong> parameters is reduced to 3N(N + 1)/2. Us<strong>in</strong>g this representation, H t<br />
can be shown to be positive def<strong>in</strong>ite for positive def<strong>in</strong>ite Ω and positive semi-def<strong>in</strong>ite Γ<br />
and ∆ (cf. Franses and van Dijk 2000, ¢ 4.7).<br />
5.3.1.3 The BEKK model<br />
A more general representation is the BEKK model <strong>of</strong> Engle and Kroner (1995). It<br />
<strong>in</strong>cludes all positive def<strong>in</strong>ite diagonal <strong>models</strong> and nearly all positive def<strong>in</strong>ite vech specifications.<br />
The model is named after an earlier version <strong>of</strong> the paper, which was based<br />
on the contributions <strong>of</strong> Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner. The BEKK model elegantly<br />
imposes the restrictions <strong>of</strong> positive def<strong>in</strong>iteness <strong>of</strong> H t by (i) decompos<strong>in</strong>g the constant<br />
matrix <strong>in</strong>to Ω ′ Ω, and (ii) by us<strong>in</strong>g quadratic forms <strong>of</strong> Γ and ∆ <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> impos<strong>in</strong>g<br />
restrictions on these matrices. The model is given by<br />
Ht = Ω ′ Ω + Γ ′ ɛt−1ɛ ′ t−1Γ + ∆ ′ Ht−1∆, (5.51)<br />
where Ω, Γ and ∆ are symmetric N × N matrices with Ω be<strong>in</strong>g upper triangular. In<br />
the bivariate case the BEKK model can be written as<br />
� �′ �<br />
� � �<br />
γ11 γ12<br />
ɛ1,t−1ɛ2,t−1 γ11 γ12<br />
Ht = Ω ′ Ω ′ +<br />
γ21 γ22<br />
�′<br />
�<br />
δ11 δ12<br />
+<br />
δ21 δ22<br />
ɛ 2 1,t−1<br />
ɛ2,t−1ɛ1,t−1<br />
�<br />
δ11 δ12<br />
Ht−1<br />
δ21 δ22<br />
ɛ 2 2,t−1<br />
γ21 γ22<br />
�<br />
. (5.52)<br />
The number <strong>of</strong> parameters equals N(5N + 1)/2. For N = 2, two more unknowns than<br />
<strong>in</strong> the diagonal vech sett<strong>in</strong>g have to be estimated. The number <strong>of</strong> parameters can be<br />
16 The operation diag(x) with x = [x1 · · · xN] ′ denotes the N × N diagonal matrix with the<br />
diagonal elements given by x.<br />
17 For two N × N matrices A and B, the Hadamard product A ⊙ B is the N × N matrix that<br />
conta<strong>in</strong>s the element-by-element products [aijbij]i,j=1,...,N.