- Page 1: Sascha Mergner Applications of Stat
- Page 4 and 5: erschienen im Universitätsverlag G
- Page 6 and 7: Bibliographische Information der De
- Page 9 and 10: Contents List of figures . . . . .
- Page 11 and 12: Contents ix 4.5 Model selection and
- Page 13: Contents xi 7.5 Concluding remarks
- Page 16 and 17: xiv List of figures 6.14 Histograms
- Page 21 and 22: Used abbreviations and symbols Abbr
- Page 23 and 24: Used abbreviations and symbols xxi
- Page 25 and 26: Used abbreviations and symbols xxii
- Page 27: Used abbreviations and symbols xxv
- Page 31: Acknowledgements I sincerely thank
- Page 34 and 35: 2 1 Introduction sensitivities in f
- Page 36 and 37: 4 1 Introduction missing. Chapter 6
- Page 39 and 40: Chapter 2 Some stylized facts of we
- Page 41 and 42: 2.1 The data 9 Table 2.1: The DJ St
- Page 43 and 44: 2.2 Empirical properties 11 p t R t
- Page 45 and 46: 2.2 Empirical properties 13 2.2.2 V
- Page 47 and 48: 2.3 Implications 15 CUSUMSQ test 1.
- Page 49 and 50: Chapter 3 Linear Gaussian state spa
- Page 51 and 52: 3.2 The state space form of a dynam
- Page 53 and 54: 3.3 The Kalman filter and smoother
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- Page 57 and 58: 3.3 The Kalman filter and smoother
- Page 59 and 60: 3.4 Maximum likelihood estimation 2
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- Page 63 and 64: 3.4 Maximum likelihood estimation 3
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3.6 Model diagnostics 37 3.6.1 Resi
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3.6 Model diagnostics 39 3.6.2.2 Co
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3.7 Illustration: How to specify th
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44 4 Markov regime switching who em
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46 4 Markov regime switching based
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48 4 Markov regime switching While
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50 4 Markov regime switching 4.3.1
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52 4 Markov regime switching Taking
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54 4 Markov regime switching such t
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56 4 Markov regime switching 4.5 Mo
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58 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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60 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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62 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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64 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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66 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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68 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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70 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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72 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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74 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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76 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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78 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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80 5 Conditional heteroskedasticity
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Chapter 6 Time-varying market beta
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6.1 The unconditional beta in the C
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 87 v
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 89 T
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 91 R
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 93 T
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 95 c
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 97 T
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 99 T
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 101
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 103
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 105
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 107
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6.2 Modeling conditional betas 109
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6.3 Analysis of empirical results 1
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6.3 Analysis of empirical results 1
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6.3 Analysis of empirical results 1
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6.3 Analysis of empirical results 1
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6.4 Concluding remarks 119 of 150 w
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6.4 Concluding remarks 121 be furth
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124 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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126 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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128 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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130 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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132 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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134 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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136 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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138 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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140 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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142 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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144 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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146 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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148 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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150 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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152 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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154 7 A Kalman filter based conditi
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156 Conclusion and outlook conditio
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158 Conclusion and outlook conduct
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160 Appendix A A.2 The consumption-
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162 Appendix A The APT, introduced
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164 Appendix B β t β t β t 2.0 1
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166 Appendix B β t β t β t 2.0 1
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168 Appendix B β t β t β t 2.0 1
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170 Appendix B β t β t β t 2.5 2
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172 Appendix B β t β t β t 2.0 1
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174 Appendix B β t β t β t 1.2 1
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176 Appendix B cumulative return (%
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178 Appendix C Table C.1: Compariso
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180 Appendix C Table C.2: In-sample
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182 Appendix C Table C.4: Out-of-sa
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184 Appendix C Table C.6: Out-of-sa
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186 Appendix C Table C.7 — contin
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188 Appendix C Table C.7 — contin
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190 Appendix C Table C.9: Fama-MacB
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192 References Baum, L. E. and T. P
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194 References de Jong, P. (1991).
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196 References Giannopoulos, K. (19
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198 References Keim, D. B. and R. F
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200 References Pagan, A. R. (1996).
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202 References Wells, C. (1994). Va