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Glass Melting Technology: A Technical and Economic ... - OSTI

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consumption level was 5.5 GJ (6.9–7.7mmBtu/short tons) per ton of molten container<br />

glass in Europe.<br />

<strong>Glass</strong> furnace energy consumption includes the fuel input of the melting furnace,<br />

electricity for boosting, oxygen for firing the furnace, (primary energy, including electric<br />

energy of one (1) kWh/MJ <strong>and</strong> oxygen consumption of one (1) m 3 oxygen, is 0.33–0.36<br />

MJ). These figures do not include the energy consumption of downstream devices, i.e.,<br />

distributors, forehearths, etc., <strong>and</strong> air pollution equipment. Comprehensive statistics for<br />

glass melting energy of glass furnaces in the United States have been difficult to obtain.<br />

(See Figure I.2. for Energy Consumption of 123 <strong>Glass</strong> Furnaces.)<br />

Figure I.2. Energy consumption of 123 glass furnaces globally, ranked low to high.<br />

Financial models that justify development of technology <strong>and</strong> capital investment for<br />

energy reduction make assumptions about future cost of energy. However, future cost<br />

<strong>and</strong> availability of energy is uncertain. The underlying assumption of these financial<br />

models, usually not explicitly stated, is that the energy needed will be available in the<br />

quantity <strong>and</strong> form the technology requires. Energy has been readily available during the<br />

past 25 years, <strong>and</strong> the “Annual Energy Outlook” of the Energy Information<br />

Administration in the US Department of Energy forecasts relatively low energy cost<br />

escalation to 2025. (Editor’s Note: Given recent developments (2004), this forecast is<br />

now questionable). Value of the energy saved at the current cost of energy with an<br />

assumed low rate of cost escalation is insufficient to justify many energy-saving<br />

technologies, particularly technologies that require significant capital investment.<br />

Increased volatility in some energy prices, such as natural gas, may cause some glass<br />

manufacturers to consider alternative scenarios for future energy. In consultation with<br />

glass industry experts over the effects of energy costs three to five times greater than the<br />

current energy costs, we conclude that if forecasts of the future were to predict significant<br />

increases in energy costs, the glass industry’s interest in developing energy-saving<br />

technologies, or alternative energy sources, would increase dramatically. Without<br />

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