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babcock & brown limited prospectus.pdf - Astrojapanproperty.com

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BABCOCK & BROWN PROSPECTUS<br />

Management discussion and analysis<br />

Historicals<br />

2003 compared with 2002<br />

Net Revenue increased 149.7% from $25.7 million to $64.2 million primarily due to significant growth in the<br />

Australian business driven by:<br />

• Continued expansion and turnover of the BBRE portfolio<br />

• Refinancing fees and investment gains on investments which Babcock & Brown managed and in which it<br />

held equity interests<br />

• Exit and performance fees derived from private investment syndicates managed by Babcock & Brown<br />

The Japanese business achieved Net Revenue levels above its previous record 2001 performance as it expanded its<br />

investment management portfolio with major property acquisitions, including a portfolio of properties in the<br />

Tokyo and Yokohama areas. Unlike 2001 this level of Net Revenue was achieved from a much wider spread of<br />

transactions and included advisory fees, asset management fees, trading profits and performance fees.<br />

The UK real estate business was still in development mode and was not a significant contributor to Net Revenue<br />

with substantial focus being directed towards the creation of a retail syndication business.The first fund<br />

(Foundation Property Fund) achieved a successful close in early 2004.<br />

2002 compared with 2001<br />

Net Revenue decreased 16.5% from $30.8 million to $25.7 million as substantial Net Revenue growth in the<br />

Australian business, which approximately doubled its Net Revenue, was exceeded by a temporary decline in Net<br />

Revenue from the Japanese business (see below).<br />

2002 was the first full year of operation of the BBRE fund which facilitated the profitable expansion of the<br />

Australian business’ investment and lending activities. Fees from sale and lease-back activities and profits from the<br />

syndication of the Group’s investments were other important revenue drivers for the Australian business.<br />

The UK real estate business grew revenues off a low base in 2001 in its first full year of operation as an<br />

independent Business Unit.<br />

In Japan, the focus on transitioning the business model to one less dependent on the Group’s capital (given the<br />

constraints on the Group’s capital at the time), and the decision to delay a large scheduled portfolio acquisition<br />

until 2003, resulted in a significant decline in transaction closings which had a temporary adverse impact on<br />

revenue in 2002.<br />

Forecasts<br />

In Australia, the BBRE investment portfolio has continued to grow, reaching more than $120 million as of<br />

30 June 2004.The Group has seen increased demand for mezzanine loans and equity financing from property<br />

developers and other sponsors seeking structured financings due to the tightening of credit parameters by<br />

first-mortgage lenders, particularly in the residential sector.The existing BBRE investment portfolio continues to<br />

perform to expectations despite generally more challenging market conditions reflecting the quality of the assets<br />

and the high levels of pre-sales at most residential developments in the portfolio.The gains from investments<br />

realised thus far in 2004 support this trend.<br />

Revenue associated with BBRE is the principal driver of growth for Australian Real Estate over the Forecast<br />

Period. Specific assumptions relating to the forecasts for BBRE are listed below:<br />

• Loans and equity investments outstanding are assumed to grow to $150 million<br />

• As existing investments are realised, they are assumed to be replaced with new investments, such that the<br />

portfolio stays constant at $150 million for the remainder of the Forecast Period<br />

51

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