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babcock & brown limited prospectus.pdf - Astrojapanproperty.com
babcock & brown limited prospectus.pdf - Astrojapanproperty.com
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SECTION 3<br />
BUSINESS OVERVIEW<br />
BABCOCK & BROWN PROSPECTUS<br />
Aircraft leasing industry<br />
There are approximately 15 significant groups operating in the aircraft operating-leasing industry, with ILFC and<br />
GECAS (subsidiaries of AIG and GE respectively) being the largest participants with a combined market share<br />
estimated to be in excess of 60%. Of the remaining market participants there are several groups of a similar size to<br />
BBAM linked to major commercial banks or equipment finance organisations. Business models vary widely<br />
between groups. For example, GECAS and ILFC generally place large orders with the aircraft manufacturers,<br />
whereas BBAM principally engages in sale/lease-back transactions with airlines and opportunistic trading<br />
acquisitions which subsequently can be syndicated to investor groups.<br />
The international airline industry has recently been through a significant downturn driven by the global<br />
terrorism threat, political instability in the Middle East, increasing oil prices and SARS in Asia and Canada.<br />
Babcock & Brown believes current market conditions, however, have improved considerably and consider the<br />
outlook for the European and Asian airline industry to be more robust than at any time in the last three years.<br />
Airline Monitor forecasts global passenger traffic, a key driver for aircraft operating lessors, to increase by 8.7%<br />
and 6.5% in 2004 and 2005, respectively.Through the first six months of 2004, IATA reported that international<br />
passenger traffic increased 20.4% over 2003.<br />
Following the recent downturn in the industry, several aircraft operating lessors have reduced their investment in<br />
the sector. In contrast, BBAM continued to engage actively in the sector and has grown its aircraft portfolio by<br />
26% since the end of 2001. As demand for leased aircraft continues to grow Babcock & Brown is in a strong<br />
position due to the fact that its aircraft fleet is being primarily focused on modern, narrow body jet aircraft with<br />
broad customer appeal. Furthermore, its model of syndicating ownership of its managed fleet generally places the<br />
primary-residual value risk with third parties.<br />
According to Boeing’s Current Market Outlook 2004, the worldwide jet fleet is estimated to more than double by<br />
the end of 2023 to 34,764 jet aircraft. Babcock & Brown believes that approximately 25-30% of current year<br />
deliveries of new aircraft will be financed using operating leases and that airlines will need to rely more on<br />
operating lessors in the future as banks and capital markets will be slow to finance airlines directly.This long-term<br />
situation is expected to underpin ongoing activity in the aircraft leasing market which should provide ongoing<br />
opportunities to BBAM.<br />
Leased aircraft portfolio<br />
BBAM manages a portfolio of 144 leased commercial jets with a total value in excess of US$3.8 billion.The fleet<br />
is currently 99% utilised and is leased to 47 customers.The fleet has an average age (weighted by value) of<br />
7.0 years, with 42% of BBAM’s portfolio being less than six years old.The average remaining lease term<br />
(weighted by value) within the portfolio is 47 months.The growth of Babcock & Brown’s managed aircraft fleet<br />
over time is shown in the chart below.<br />
AIRCRAFT PORTFOLIO SIZE AND VALUE<br />
160<br />
5<br />
No. of Aircraft<br />
120<br />
80<br />
40<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.5 3.5<br />
2.9<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
US$ billion<br />
0<br />
102 114 127 137 144<br />
Dec00 Dec01 Dec02 Dec03 Jun04<br />
0<br />
Aircraft managed<br />
Source: Babcock & Brown<br />
Portfolio value<br />
67