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The Economy of Catalonia

the_economy_of_catalonia._questions_and_answers_on_the_economic_impact_of_independence

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4.2. In or out <strong>of</strong>the euro: certainties and<br />

uncertainties<br />

Miquel Puig<br />

(Translated by Miquel Strubell)<br />

Introduction<br />

<strong>The</strong> aim <strong>of</strong> this paper is to make a reasoned analysis <strong>of</strong> the consequences<br />

that <strong>Catalonia</strong>’s independence would have on its currency, distinguishing<br />

between those that we can be reasonably confident about and those<br />

that depend on decisions about which any forecast will be basically subjective.<br />

Essentially, I think the element <strong>of</strong> discrimination is whether or<br />

not they affect non-Spanish economic interests.<br />

Independence framework<br />

I will suppose that the independence <strong>of</strong> <strong>Catalonia</strong> takes place in an institutional<br />

framework similar or identical to the current one, i.e., Spain is integrated in the<br />

European Union and the euro. I will further suppose that the political parties<br />

that lead this independence <strong>of</strong> <strong>Catalonia</strong> pursue maximum integration <strong>of</strong> the<br />

new country in the EU, and keeping the euro as its own currency.<br />

In or out <strong>of</strong> the euro 93

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