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Adopted 2017 Annual Operating & Capital Improvement Budget

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ECONOMIC INDICATORS<br />

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)<br />

The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) was established in 1967 to measure the degree of optimism that consumers<br />

have with regard to the economy. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks<br />

a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. Consumer confidence in the United States averaged 85.9<br />

from 1952 until 2016, while a reading of 90.0 is associated with a healthy economic outlook. As of July, the CCI reported<br />

an index measure of 90, below that reported during the previous year (93.1). Furthermore, the chart below illustrates<br />

consumer sentiment has wavered during the past twelve months and recently shows that consumers are less optimistic.<br />

United States Consumer Sentiment<br />

96.0<br />

94.0<br />

92.0<br />

90.0<br />

88.0<br />

86.0<br />

84.0<br />

82.0<br />

Aug<br />

2015<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

2016<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Retail Sales Year-Over-Year<br />

The year-over-year change in retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain<br />

month to the same month a year ago. Retail sales in the United States averaged 4.37% from 1993 until 2016, reaching<br />

an all-time high of 11.2% in March of 1994 and a record low of -11.5% in December of 2008. Retail sales increased<br />

2.7% in June of 2016 over the same month in the previous year. As evident in the following chart, increases in retail<br />

sales have been sporadic over the previous twelve-month period, suggesting uncertainty within the consumer retail<br />

market.<br />

United States Retail Sales Year-Over-Year<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

-<br />

Jul<br />

2015<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

2016<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

14

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