SAGARMALA

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18 Demand growth for thermal coal Growth in total power demand Peak demand, GW 24x7 demand Baseline MTPA @3,800 GCV Base case power demand Non-power demand 24X7 demand Supply from CIL & others 280 40 Coal demand and supply projections 1 1,000 1,251 145 144 240 679 197 482 560 320–380 806 FY14 FY20 FY 14 FY 20 1X Nearly 2X 1 10% annual growth till FY 2020 Adding latent demand can add 20% more to power demand 25% of coal requirement is for non-power usage CIL production assumed to be around 800 MTPA, 200 from other coal fields SOURCE: Coal optimisation model; Sigma insights | 20
19 Logistics cost as a proportion of cost of power Break up of power cost at busbar 1 INR per kwh, FY 14 3.5 Share of logistics cost % of cost of power 40 1.0 0.2 2.5 35 32% 34% 1.4 0.9 30 26% 29% 25 Capex Coal cost O&M Cost of pithead plant Logistics cost Cost of nonpithead plant 20 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 km travelled 1 Does not include transmission cost Supercritical power plant of 660 MW with economic life of 25 years Plant runs on 100% domestic coal Average mine to plant distance of 1,000 km Transportation of coal by rail Capex of INR 6,000 Cr for 1 GW capacity plant Average PLF of 80% SOURCE: Expert discussions | 21 Share of coastal shipping in freight mix Nearly 61% coal is transported on rail 100% = 585 MTPA Coastal is significantly cheaper than rail INR per tonne km (operating cost) Pithead Coastal Port project 4 5 Road 2 2–3 1.2–1.5 2 additional handlings 0.2–0.3 Road Rail Coastal 28 ▪ 28% of movement is pithead and port projects which are already optimised 61 Rail ▪ Around 63% of movement is via road/rail, opportunity to optimise the movement by – Debottlenecking the rail/road routes – Alternative modal mix using coastal shipping and inland waterways wherever feasible SOURCE: Sigma insights | 22
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SAGARMALA “Building Gateways of G
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ii Globally, ports have had a signi
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iv ■ ■ ■ Port led development
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vi Hamburg - Le Havre (HLH) range i
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viii Steel production follows an in
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x Port enabled eco-system of Steel
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xii Export-driven production is two
Page 20 and 21: xiv Overview of Shenzhen Key facts
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Page 25 and 26: Executive summary i
Page 27 and 28: iii Comparative impact of port-led
Page 29 and 30: v Impact from Sagarmala - 2025 INR
Page 31 and 32: vii ■ ■ ■ Comparison of end-t
Page 33 and 34: ix Sagarmala: Port-led development
Page 35 and 36: xi Traffic handled at Indian ports
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Page 39 and 40: xv 6-8 potential new ports based on
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Page 45 and 46: xxi Proposed coastal economic zones
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Page 49 and 50: xxv 40 lakh potential new direct jo
Page 51: xxvii Sagarmala could mobilise inve
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Page 56 and 57: 4 Demand centres, production and di
Page 58 and 59: 6 Export decision of private player
Page 60 and 61: 8 LPG demand to outpace domestic pr
Page 62 and 63: 10 Even in the best case scenario,
Page 64 and 65: 12 Gas demand may be concentrated i
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Page 68 and 69: 16 , 10 states account for 80% of c
Page 72 and 73: 20 Example of optimisation model: N
Page 74 and 75: 22 Key clusters for coastal movemen
Page 76 and 77: 24 Steel production in India MTPA 6
Page 78 and 79: 26 Steel plants 1 relevant for coki
Page 80 and 81: 28 Imported coking coal origin by c
Page 82 and 83: 30 Iron ore movement in India, FY 1
Page 84 and 85: 32 Iron ore import: Source country
Page 86 and 87: 34 Prevalent market conditions make
Page 88 and 89: 36 — —
Page 90 and 91: 38 Almost every major plant has the
Page 92 and 93: 40 Demand and supply of cement A de
Page 94 and 95: 42 Modes used for cement transporta
Page 96 and 97: 44 Plant-wise potential to shift to
Page 98 and 99: 46 Imported finished fertilisers: O
Page 100 and 101: 48 - Methodology snapshot: For each
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Page 104 and 105: 52 EXIM container volumes split for
Page 106 and 107: 54 Overview of expected container t
Page 108 and 109: 56 Comparison of end-to-end time of
Page 111 and 112: 59 2. Port modernisation Prominent
Page 113 and 114: 61 Comparison of port-related KPIs
Page 115 and 116: 63 Port-wise capacity utilisation C
Page 117 and 118: 65 State-wise cargo traffic in 2015
Page 119 and 120: 67 EXIM and domestic shipping cargo
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69 Most ports in India characterise
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71 Substantial performance change t
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73 ■ ■ Ports with cape-size han
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75 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■
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77 Traffic forecast for West Bengal
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79 West Bengal cluster: New opportu
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81
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83 Ports in the northern Andhra Pra
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85
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87 ■ ■ ■
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89 Northern TN cluster: New opportu
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91
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93 Kerala cluster: New opportunitie
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95 - Ports in the Karnataka cluster
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97 Mangalore Port: New opportunitie
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101
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103 ■ ■ ■ - - - - ■
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105 Northern Maharashtra: New oppor
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107 Ports in the Saurashtra cluster
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113 New port identification framewo
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115 Traffic projection for Vadhavan
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117 Deviation from main sailing rou
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119 ■ ■ Traffic projection for
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121 Coal: Non-availability of port
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123 Traffic projection for Paradip
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125 Eastern Hinterland: Kolkata Doc
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127 Cargo handled at Haldia and Kol
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130
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132 Comparison of end-to-end time o
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134 Commodity to mode mapping Road
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136 Current rail network is congest
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138 BAGALKOT (BGK) 93.290 BELGAUM (
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140 Hinterland evacuation is domina
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142 High freight charges making rai
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144 Current crude pipeline network
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146 Current product pipeline networ
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148 NW1 is 1,620 km navigable stret
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150 National waterway - 5 Jharsugud
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152 National Waterway 2 Congested r
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154 - - Key clusters for coastal mo
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156 IB Valley/Taclher to Paradip/Dh
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158 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■
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160 ■ ■
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162
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164 Based on the above analysis we
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166 Location justification for Tela
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168 ■ → → → ■ → → ■
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170 Enabler for increased rail shar
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172 Comparison of carrying a contai
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174 Current and potential critical
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176 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■
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182 Four levers identified for cost
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184 ■ ■ 4. 2. ■ ■ ■ ■
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187 4. Port-led industrialisation S
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191 By 2025, India may face ~15 MMT
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193 Trade balance in 2025 with plan
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195 Potential impact from each powe
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197 Limestone reserve mapping for m
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199 Potential impact from each ceme
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201 Two new proposed steel clusters
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203
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205 MARKET TRENDS Globally, overcap
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207 Foreign exchange earnings throu
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Surface ships Submarine 209 INDIA O
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211 India has a significant share i
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213 Key automotive production clust
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215 India’s auto export competive
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217 Breakdown of value chain cost o
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219 Discrete manufacturing selectio
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221 Scoring of discrete manufacturi
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223
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225 Chief purchasing officers plan
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227 Three clusters of cotton produc
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229 World leather exports Raw hides
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231 Leather production centres in I
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233 ■ ■ India lags behind the o
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235 Segment-wise contribution to gl
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237 Processed food cargo flows from
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239 Levels of food processing in In
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241 India’s export basket compris
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243 ■ ■ Potential Impact from e
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245 China has a near monopoly in ex
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247 Furniture cargo flows from Indi
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249 Comparison of Indian units in t
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251 Potential Impact from each furn
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253 Indian electronics and IT hardw
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255 Electronics supply chain Silico
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257 Hsinchu science park has grown
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259 Proposed coastal economic zones
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263 5. Coastal community developmen
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265 HDI 2007-08 0.790 Above all-Ind
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273 BPL families % BPL fishermen fa
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277 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■
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279 ■ ■ ■ ‒ ‒ ‒ ‒ ■
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281 Indian islands Oceanic islands
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283 Roadmap for island development
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