Informe El medio ambiente en Europa: Estado y perspectivas 2020

PART 2
FIGURE 7.3 Drivers of reductions in GHG emissions in the EU-28, 1990-2017
Key emission drivers in the EU (%)
40
30
20
Non-energy sectors
10
Carbon intensity of energy
0
-10
-6,3 %
Energy intensity of GDP
GDP per capita
Population
-16,6 % -10,8 %
Total GHG
-20
-30
-40
2005/1990 2015/2005 2030/2015
Note:
Source:
Based on final GHG inventories to the UNFCCC and projections data reported under the EU Monitoring Mechanism Regulation by
29 May. The decomposition analysis is based on the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI). The bar segments show the changes
associated with each factor alone, holding the other factors constant. Projections at EU level have been aggregated based on Member
States’ submissions under EU reporting requirements. GHG emission projections in this figure refer to those in the ‘with existing
measures’ scenario. The EU Reference Scenario 2016 from the European Commission (based on the PRIMES and GAINS models) was
used to gap-fill incomplete reporting for specific Member States’ parameters.
EEA.
energy sources in most Member
States and a clear move towards less
carbon‐intensive fuels. Due to this
strong convergence, GHG emissions
per capita and per GDP are more
similar now across Member States
than they were in 1990. Projections by
Member States suggest a continued
decoupling of GHG emissions alongside
higher economic growth for the period
2015-2030. However, higher levels
of renewables in the energy mix will
be required to achieve complete
Fulfilling the 2030 targets
requires further energy
efficiency and carbon intensity
improvements.
decoupling between GHG emissions,
energy and economic growth.
2. The lower carbon intensity
of energy has been a key factor
underpinning lower emissions, in
spite of a decline in nuclear electricity
production in recent years. This
positive trend has been due both to the
higher contribution from renewable
energy sources in the fuel mix and to
the switch from more carbon‐intensive
coal to less carbon-intensive gas.
SOER 2020/Climate change
163