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Informe El medio ambiente en Europa: Estado y perspectivas 2020

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PART 2

FIGURE 7.7 Economic damage caused by climate-related extreme events in EEA member countries

Billion EUR (2017 values)

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Note:

1980

Events:

Source:

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

Meteorological Hydrological Climatological

1996

Meteorological events: storms; hydrological events: floods and mass movement; climatological events: cold waves, heat waves,

droughts, forest fires.

Adapted from EEA (2019b), NatCatSERVICE provided by Munich Re.

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Health impacts of climate change

Heat waves are the most deadly

climate extremes in Europe. The

2003 summer heat wave alone is

estimated to have caused around

70 000 premature deaths in Europe

(Robine et al., 2008). The projected

substantial increase in the frequency

and magnitude of heat waves will

lead to a large increase in mortality

over the next few decades, especially

in vulnerable population groups

(the elderly, children, those in poor

health), unless adaptation measures

are taken. Urban areas are particularly

affected due to the combined effects

of higher temperatures as a result

of the urban heat island effect, the

frequent combination of heat with air

pollution, including ground-level ozone,

and high population density (EEA,

2016d). Different population groups are

affected differently, depending on their

age, general health and socio‐economic

status (EEA, 2019j).

Climate change is also affecting human

health and well-being directly through

floods and indirectly by changing the

magnitude, frequency, seasonality

and/or regional distribution of vector-,

water- and food-borne diseases,

pollen allergens and air pollution

incidents. For example, extremely

warm water temperatures in the

Baltic and North Seas during recent

heat waves were associated with

unprecedented peaks in Vibrio infections

in humans (EEA, 2017c, Section 5.2).

Economic losses from

climate‐related extremes

The direct economic losses caused by

weather- and climate-related extremes

in the EEA member countries amounted

to approximately EUR 453 billion (in 2017

euro values) over the period 1980-2017

(Figure 7.7). The analysis of historical

trends is difficult, because most of the

losses were caused by a small number of

very severe events (EEA, 2019b). Model

simulations performed by the Joint

Research Centre project large increases

in most climate hazards in Europe and

considerable economic damage. For

example, in a hypothetical scenario

without additional adaptation, impacts

on critical infrastructure could rise 10-fold

during the 21st century due to climate

change alone (Forzieri et al., 2016, 2018).

Other economic impacts

of climate change

A changing climate is affecting a

wide range of economic sectors and

human activities, including agriculture,

forestry, fisheries, water management,

SOER 2020/Climate change

177

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