Informe El medio ambiente en Europa: Estado y perspectivas 2020

PART 2
MAP 7.1
Extreme heat waves in the future under two different forcing scenarios
-30°
-20°
-10°
2020–2052 RCP4.5
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
-30°
-20°
-10°
2068–2100 RCP4.5
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
60°
60°
50°
50°
50°
50°
40°
40°
40°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
-30° -20° -10° 0°
2020–2052 RCP8.5
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
-30° -20° -10° 0°
2068–2100 RCP8.5
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
60°
60°
50°
50°
50°
50°
40°
40°
40°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
Heat wave frequency
Number in 33 years
0 500 1 000 1 500 km
0
1 2 –6 3 7–124
13–15 16–33
No data
Outside coverage
Note:
RCP 4.5 corresponds to a medium-emissions scenario, whereas RCP 8.5 refers to a high-emissions scenario. Neither of these scenarios
is compatible with the stabilisation target of the Paris Agreement.
Source: EEA (2019f), adapted from Russo et al. (2014).
172 SOER 2020/Climate change