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in the 1960s extended the process of eecondary<br />

industrialisation baaad on import substitution, which<br />

had begun in earnest in tha 1920s. Tha impressive<br />

flQuras indicating, tha growth of sacondary industry<br />

in South Africa 1920-90 tand to concaal tha fact that<br />

thass industriaa were concentrated vary heevily in<br />

tha wage goods sector, producing artlclat of<br />

consumption. Tha procass of Industrialisation behind<br />

protactlva tariffs did not laad to tha davalopaant of<br />

a significant capital goods ssctor. As tha ragular and<br />

growing balancs of payments daflclts throughout tba<br />

1960s lndloatadt Industry in South Africa raaainad<br />

vary haavily dependent on tha importetion of capital<br />

equipment froa tha developed capitalist economies.<br />

Thasa imparts were financad through tha axport of<br />

primary commodities - agricultural products and<br />

minerals, but particularly gold. Thus, in a wary<br />

fundaaantal sense, tha limits of capital accumulation<br />

in South Africa remain sat by tha primary axport<br />

sactors - la agriculture and minerals t aith gold baing<br />

by far tha aost important.<br />

Tha economic crises of tha mid-1970s revealed<br />

vary claarly that, undvr tha prevailing political<br />

and social conditions within tha country, tha<br />

South African aconomy mas raachlng tha limits of<br />

industrial expansion based on Import substitution.<br />

By 1977, facad mith little apparent prospect of an<br />

early or rapid lncraasa in tha price of goldt<br />

virtually all South African aconomlsts mere agreed<br />

that furthar industrial axpanslon mould hava to ba<br />

basad on tha development of a strong capital goods<br />

ssctor, and a shift In tha emphasis of exports<br />

tomsrds industrial rathar than primary products.<br />

Tha aconomlc crisis of tha mid-1970s thus<br />

presented both differential barriers for accumulation<br />

for particular capitals, and mora fundamentally, for<br />

capital as a ehols In South Africa. Tha resolution<br />

of this crisis spomared to damand a complex restructur­<br />

ing of capital in all aactore of tha economy, a<br />

restructuring ehich mould render labour more<br />

productive, Thle Implied the nmed for an even more<br />

capital intenelve basis to South African industry.<br />

now linked to the need to rsep the owneflts of<br />

M<br />

economies of scale. Thue the racaeelon posed very.<br />

eterkly vthe urgent need for change In a number of<br />

the conditions of accumulation of capital in South<br />

Africa. ( In broadest terms, the entire eat of<br />

conditions under which labour ems utilised within tha<br />

economy on the one hand, and the structure of the<br />

market on the other hand, warm poaed aa urgent<br />

political problems for the capitalist cless as a whole.<br />

Here, however, tha differential impact of tha<br />

recession on various capitals becomes Important. The<br />

forms of resolution of these problems and tha<br />

policies desired by various capitals differed<br />

substantially. This is an Brea requiring much<br />

f^rtf^r investigation.<br />

Before analysing the unprecedented proliferation<br />

of politicking-on these issues by the entire complex<br />

gamut of bourgeois organisations, tha other side of<br />

this economic crisis needs to be mentioned. The<br />

process of cepltallet eecumuletion of the mid-1970s<br />

took piece In the context of, and was indeed largely<br />

a product of, a rapid intensification of the cless<br />

struggle. The decede saw a growing militancy on<br />

the part of an increasingly organised efrican working<br />

class. It began with a massive strike of contract<br />

workere in Nemible. Prom 1972 onwards. South African<br />

industry was rocked by wave upon wave of strlkea by<br />

african workers demanding higher wages and tha right<br />

to organise. These strikes began at the tall end<br />

of tha great boom or the 1960s, and in many mays<br />

heralded the onset of the recession of the 1970s.<br />

These struggles are well known end neod not ba<br />

documented here. The mining Industry too was shaken<br />

by bitter disputes, stoppages end strikes between<br />

1973 and 1976, These were liirgely suppressed with<br />

violence - In one instance in Carletonville In 1ff73,<br />

11 etriking miners were shot oy police summoned by<br />

the Anglo--Amarican Corporation. During the Soweto<br />

uprisings, two massive general strikes in August<br />

and September 1976 virtually paralysed South African<br />

Industry,<br />

These working cless struggles apart, political<br />

stability was further shattered by other mass<br />

struggles against apartheid. Tha regime was rocked<br />

•<br />

by maaeive uprlelnge in 1976, by the collepse of<br />

Portuguese colonlellam and particularly the<br />

humllletlng defeat of tha South African army In<br />

Angola. Significantly, beginning in 1976 a slowly<br />

escalating guerilla war inside South Africa waa waged<br />

1 by the militants of tha armed wing of the banned<br />

African National Congress, Umkhonto We Sizwe. As<br />

PW Botha claimed on assuming office, the state did<br />

indeed seem to be confronted with e 'total onslaught*.<br />

Certainly amongst South African businessmen there wee<br />

an almoat panle-etricken recognition that these<br />

struggles went beyond mere demands for the and to<br />

reclal discrimination. In the words of one worried<br />

cepltallet, 'there is e general tendency for young<br />

africans to be enti-free enterprise.*<br />

Again, tha above simple cetalogue of some of tha<br />

events of this intensifying class struggle of the<br />

1970s Is no substitute for its analysis. Uuch furthar<br />

research is needed in this area. 8ut one general<br />

conclusion Is clear. By 1977-78 both tha economic<br />

and political conditions which had underlain end given<br />

rise to the unprecedented boom of 1961-71 had been<br />

decisively shattered. •hilet the economic end<br />

political crises of tha 1970a are not immediately<br />

reduceable to each other, they both raised, in<br />

differing ways, as tha central issue of polltlcel<br />

struggle, the question of the requisite state<br />

policies to ensure renewed capitalist growth and<br />

stability. Moreover, they did so in ways which<br />

began to shake loose the existing political<br />

alignments within South Africa, leading to Intensified<br />

political conflict and significant political<br />

reorganisation of varioua class forces.<br />

The Pressure for Reform<br />

.IT is necessary to note that by 1996 a significant<br />

change had occurred in the alignment of the economic<br />

organisation of the capitalist claas. With the<br />

important exception of organised agriculture, by 1978<br />

ell the economic organisations of the cepltallet<br />

claae were united in agreement over the need for<br />

significant reforms in economic and political<br />

policy. Even given the differential Impact of tha<br />

page 4

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