Tsu-2011 - ieeetsu

P ( AB)
4/55/24
1/6
da P ( AB)
4/519/24
19/
30
(SevniSnavT, rom Cven aq mxolod sisrulisaTvis gamovTvaleT yvela
SesaZlo pirobiTi da namravlis albaTobebi).
cxadia, rom B ( AB)
(
AB)
. amitom albaTobaTa Sekrebis kanonis
Tanaxmad
P( B)
P(
AB)
P(
AB)
1/301/6
1/5 ( P(
A))
.
magaliTi 4. yuTSi m burTia, maT Soris n TeTria. vipovoT albaToba
imisa, rom yuTidan ori burTis mimdevrobiT dabrunebis gareSe amoRebisas:
a). pirveli burTi TeTria; b). meore burTi TeTria; g). orive bur-
Ti TeTria.
amoxsna. A i
iyos xdomileba, rom i -uri burTi TeTria ( i 1, 2 ). maSin
albaTobis klasikuri ganmartebis Tanaxmad:
a). P ( A 1
) n/
m.
garda amisa,
P ( A2 | A1
) ( n1)/(
m1)
da P ( A2 | A1
) n/(
m1)
.
amitom namravlis albaTobis formulis Tanaxmad:
g). P ( A1 A2
) P(
A1
) P(
A2
| A1
) n(
n1)/
m(
m1)
.
analogiurad,
P ( A1 A2
) P(
A1
) P(
A2
| A1
) n(
mn)/
m(
m1)
.
amitom:
b). P ( A2 ) P[(
A1
A2
) (
A1
A2
)] P(
A1
A2
) P(
A1
A2
) n/
m.
magaliTi 5. yuTs aqvs n ujra. albaToba imisa rom burTi aris am
ujrebidan erT-erTSi tolia p -si. ipoveT albaToba imisa, rom burTi aris
i -ur ujraSi, Tu cnobilia, rom burTi TiTeul ujraSi SesaZlebelia
iyos Tanabari albaTobebiT?
amoxsna. A iyos xdomileba, rom burTi aris i -ur ujraSi. A iyos
am xdomilebebis gaerTianeba
i
A
n
A i
i1
19
. pirobis Tanaxmad
P( A)
p da P( A i
| A)
1/
n.
amitom
P( Ai ) P(
Ai
A)
P(
A)
P(
Ai
| A)
p1/
n p/
n.
magaliTi 6. kartebis nakrebidan (romelSic 36 kartia) SemTxveviT
iReben erT karts. ganvixiloT xdomilebebi: A iyos xdomileba, rom amo-
Rebuli karti “agurisa”, xolo B iyos xdomileba, rom amoRebuli karti
“mefea”. arian Tu ara es xdomilebebi damoukidebeli?
cxadia, rom am SemTxvevaSi
| | 36, P ( A)
9/36 1/
4, P ( B)
4/36 1/
9 da
P( A B)
1/36
1/ 41/9
P(
A)
P(
B)
.
e.i. es xdomilebebi damoukidebelia.
magaliTi 7. davuSvaT, rom vagorebT or saTamaSo kamaTels. ganvixiloT
xdomilebebi: A -- pirvel kamaTelze movida kenti qula, B -- meore