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PUBLIC OPINION by WALTER LIPPMANN TO FAYE LIPPMANN ...

PUBLIC OPINION by WALTER LIPPMANN TO FAYE LIPPMANN ...

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that the socialist philosophy rests on prophetic insight into destiny.<br />

It rests on an hypothesis about human nature. [Footnote: _Cf._<br />

Thorstein Veblen, "The Socialist Economics of Karl Marx and His<br />

Followers," in _The Place of Science in Modern Civilization,_<br />

esp. pp. 413-418.]<br />

The socialist practice is based on a belief that if men are<br />

economically situated in different ways, they can then be induced to<br />

hold certain views. Undoubtedly they often come to believe, or can be<br />

induced to believe different things, as they are, for example,<br />

landlords or tenants, employees or employers, skilled or unskilled<br />

laborers, wageworkers or salaried men, buyers or sellers, farmers or<br />

middle-men, exporters or importers, creditors or debtors. Differences<br />

of income make a profound difference in contact and opportunity. Men<br />

who work at machines will tend, as Mr. Thorstein Veblen has so<br />

brilliantly demonstrated, [Footnote: _The Theory of Business<br />

Enterprise_.] to interpret experience differently from handicraftsmen<br />

or traders. If this were all that the materialistic conception of<br />

politics<br />

asserted, the theory would be an immensely valuable hypothesis that<br />

every interpreter of opinion would have to use. But he would often<br />

have to abandon the theory, and he would always have to be on<br />

guard. For in trying to explain a certain public opinion, it is rarely<br />

obvious which of a man's many social relations is effecting a particular<br />

opinion. Does Smith's opinion arise from his problems as a landlord,<br />

an importer, an owner of railway shares, or an employer? Does<br />

Jones's opinion, Jones being a weaver in a textile mill, come from<br />

the attitude of his boss, the competition of new immigrants, his wife's<br />

grocery bills, or the ever present contract with the firm which is<br />

selling him a Ford car and a house and lot on the instalment plan?<br />

Without special inquiry you cannot tell. The economic determinist<br />

cannot tell.<br />

A man's various economic contacts limit or enlarge the range of his<br />

opinions. But which of the contacts, in what guise, on what theory,<br />

the materialistic conception of politics cannot predict. It can<br />

predict, with a high degree of probability, that if a man owns a<br />

factory, his ownership will figure in those opinions which seem to<br />

have some bearing on that factory. But how the function of being an<br />

owner will figure, no economic determinist as such, can tell you.<br />

There is no fixed set of opinions on any question that go with being<br />

the owner of a factory, no views on labor, on property, on management,<br />

let alone views on less immediate matters. The determinist can predict<br />

that in ninety-nine cases out of a hundred the owner will resist<br />

attempts to deprive him of ownership, or that he will favor<br />

legislation which he thinks will increase his profits. But since there<br />

is no magic in ownership which enables a business man to know what<br />

laws will make him prosper, there is no chain of cause and effect

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