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Annex D – Unit root tests on the price spread<br />

Annexes<br />

Table D.1 – Unit root tests on the price spread, ADF statistics (1978:12-2003:12)<br />

Spread n° of lags ADF statistics<br />

n 2<br />

c 2<br />

c+s 2<br />

n= no constant; c= constant; s= seasonal dummies included; p-values are based on MacKinnon (1996) and<br />

reported in parenthesis<br />

Table D.2 – Unit root tests on the price spread, ADF statistics (1978:12-1993:06)<br />

-2.464<br />

(0.132)<br />

-2.495<br />

(0.117)<br />

-2.416<br />

(0.137)<br />

Spread n° of lags ADF statistics<br />

n 1<br />

c 1<br />

c+s 1<br />

n= no constant; c= constant; s= seasonal dummies included; p-values are based on MacKinnon (1996) and<br />

reported in parenthesis<br />

Table D.3 – Unit root tests on the price spread, ADF statistics (1993:07-2003:12)<br />

-1.615<br />

(0.100)<br />

-1.829<br />

(0.366)<br />

-1.654<br />

(0.455)<br />

Spread n° of lags ADF statistics<br />

n 2<br />

c 2<br />

c+s 2<br />

n= no constant; c= constant; s= seasonal dummies included; p-values are based on MacKinnon (1996) and<br />

reported in parenthesis<br />

-1.934<br />

(0.051)<br />

-3.658<br />

(0.005)<br />

-3.449<br />

(0.009)<br />

145

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