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Sample A: Cover Page of Thesis, Project, or Dissertation Proposal

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3.5 EVALUATION OF MOSQUITO DENSITY – ENVIRONMENTAL-CLIMATIC RELATIONSHIPS<br />

The N<strong>or</strong>malized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is a proven biologically<br />

realistic index <strong>of</strong> environmental fact<strong>or</strong>s influencing mosquito populations. Animal life<br />

depends on vegetation, so tracking spatial-temp<strong>or</strong>al variation in vegetation similarly<br />

evaluates animal populations (Hielkema et al. 1986). The goal in these regional analyses was<br />

to evaluate the relationship <strong>or</strong> association between NDVI and Virginia mosquito density.<br />

Since a species is sampled at multiple locations and NDVI raw and anomaly values vary<br />

among locations, mosquito density-NDVI relationships were examined spatially within the<br />

2005-2006 time period f<strong>or</strong> each region as well as temp<strong>or</strong>ally by region on a monthly time<br />

scale. In the analysis <strong>of</strong> these relationships, the null expectation <strong>or</strong> hypothesis is that the<br />

mosquito density-NDVI relationships across space and across time are the same, and f<strong>or</strong>ms<br />

the basis f<strong>or</strong> using NDVI to develop a predictive model f<strong>or</strong> un-sampled areas in Virginia.<br />

Temperature and precipitation (in addition to NDVI) have previously been rep<strong>or</strong>ted<br />

to affect mosquito biology (Alto and Juliano 2001, Turell et al. 2005). Environmental-<br />

climatic variables (temperature, precipitation, and NDVI) were evaluated to determine which<br />

variable is a better predict<strong>or</strong> <strong>of</strong> mosquito distribution and abundance.<br />

Data preparation<br />

Data was not available f<strong>or</strong> all counties f<strong>or</strong> 2000-2006. The maj<strong>or</strong>ity <strong>of</strong> the reliable<br />

data was f<strong>or</strong> 2005-2006 f<strong>or</strong> the N<strong>or</strong>thern Virginia, Richmond-Petersburg, and Hampton<br />

Roads regions. Theref<strong>or</strong>e, only mosquito surveillance data and predict<strong>or</strong> data (NDVI,<br />

elevation, temperature, precipitation, and temperature-rainfall derived values) f<strong>or</strong> 2005-2006<br />

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