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3 Issuing costs of state guaranteed bonds - Financial Risk and ...

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4 Impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> on bank lending, funding <strong>and</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability performance<br />

The bars below the top bar provide similar information for different percentiles <strong>of</strong> balance sheet<br />

expansion. So, for instance, a bank in the 90 th percentile exp<strong>and</strong>ed its balance sheet more than at<br />

least 90% <strong>of</strong> banks in the sample. The bottom bar describes the ratio <strong>of</strong> participating <strong>and</strong> nonparticipating<br />

banks that were in the 90 th percentile (indicated by >0.9), <strong>and</strong> sequentially, the 75 th -<br />

90 th percentile (indicated by 0.75-0.9), the 50 th -75 th percentile (indicated by 0.5-0.75), etc.<br />

Overall, non-participating banks exp<strong>and</strong>ed their balance sheets by more than participating banks<br />

over the period. This is particularly the case for the banks having exp<strong>and</strong>ed their balance sheet by<br />

more than the median banks (i.e. top 50 th percentile) as non-participating banks outweigh<br />

participating banks from the 50 th percentile upwards. However, the opposite holds in the case <strong>of</strong><br />

institutions having exp<strong>and</strong>ed their balance sheet by less than the median bank.<br />

Figure 21: Balance sheet expansion for participating <strong>and</strong> non-participating banks, by percentile<br />

98<br />

Average<br />

0.9<br />

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />

Non-participating Participating<br />

Note: Balance sheet expansion measured as proportional expansion <strong>of</strong> net loans<br />

Source: Bloomberg<br />

Background<br />

There is a large contemporary literature explaining patterns <strong>of</strong> lending through general conditions<br />

in the banking sector <strong>and</strong> bank-specific factors. 20<br />

This literature seeks to explain historical experience showing that problems in the banking system<br />

lead to adverse credit conditions that are reflected in the real economy, as during the recent<br />

financial crisis.<br />

20 See de Bondt (1999) is the key study for Europe. In addition, see Favero et al. (1999), Kasyap <strong>and</strong> Stein (2000), Kishan <strong>and</strong> Opiela

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