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3 Issuing costs of state guaranteed bonds - Financial Risk and ...

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3 <strong>Issuing</strong> <strong>costs</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong><br />

analysis in the present study is the Z-spread for the reasons outlined above. However, the other<br />

measures will be used to test for the robustness <strong>of</strong> the empirical results.<br />

Table 3: Credit spread measures<br />

Spread<br />

measure<br />

Bloomberg<br />

code<br />

Summary Issues<br />

Yield spread yas_ytm_mid Difference between yieldto-maturity<br />

<strong>of</strong> the bond<br />

<strong>and</strong> yield-to-maturity <strong>of</strong> a<br />

benchmark with similar<br />

but not necessarily<br />

identical maturity.<br />

Interpolated<br />

spread<br />

(I-spread)<br />

Optionadjusted<br />

spread<br />

(Z-spread)<br />

Source: O' Kane <strong>and</strong> Sen (2004)<br />

Pricing sources<br />

blp_i_sprd_mid Difference between yieldto-maturity<br />

<strong>of</strong> the bond<br />

<strong>and</strong> yield-to-maturity <strong>of</strong> a<br />

benchmark with the same<br />

maturity.<br />

blp_z_sprd_mid Parallel shift <strong>of</strong> the<br />

benchmark required in<br />

order to meet the yield-tomaturity<br />

<strong>of</strong> the credit risky<br />

bond.<br />

Yield-to-maturity assumptions: Assumes<br />

reinvestment at same rate as the yield, <strong>and</strong><br />

assumes the bond is held to maturity.<br />

Hence, reinvestment risk unaccounted for.<br />

Maturity mismatch: Can be biased as<br />

maturities may not be the same <strong>and</strong> the<br />

benchmark bond changes over time.<br />

Account <strong>of</strong> term structure <strong>of</strong> interest rates:<br />

No<br />

Yield-to-maturity assumptions:<br />

Reinvestment risk unaccounted for, as<br />

above.<br />

Maturity mismatch: Benchmark rates are<br />

linearly interpolated. Gets around the<br />

maturity mismatch problem <strong>of</strong> yield spread.<br />

Account <strong>of</strong> term structure <strong>of</strong> interest rates:<br />

Roughly<br />

Yield-to-maturity assumptions: Assumes<br />

reinvestment at benchmark plus z-spread so<br />

future expectations <strong>of</strong> interest rates<br />

accounted for, reducing reinvestment risk.<br />

Maturity mismatch: Parallel shift <strong>of</strong><br />

benchmark overcomes maturity mismatch<br />

problem.<br />

Account <strong>of</strong> term structure <strong>of</strong> interest rates:<br />

Yes<br />

There are two Bloomberg sources for the benchmark curve. Bloomberg Generic (BGN), which is<br />

based on a consensus <strong>of</strong> prices provided by brokers/dealers; <strong>and</strong> the Composite Bloomberg Bond<br />

Trade (CBBT), which derives a composite <strong>of</strong> executed prices only.<br />

Our preferred pricing source is CBBT. This is because CBBT relies on real trade data only while BGN<br />

does not.<br />

However, as data on all executed trades are not readily available, BGN serves as a complementary<br />

pricing source, ins<strong>of</strong>ar as it is based on a wider range <strong>of</strong> brokers/dealers than CBBT. For this<br />

reason, BGN will be used for a robustness check <strong>of</strong> the main results based on CBBT.<br />

35

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