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3 Issuing costs of state guaranteed bonds - Financial Risk and ...

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A2.2.2 Comparison <strong>of</strong> means<br />

Annex 2 Comparison <strong>of</strong> SG <strong>and</strong> non-SG bond populations<br />

The comparison <strong>of</strong> means presented in Table 28 gives a sense <strong>of</strong> the characteristics <strong>of</strong> SG <strong>and</strong> non-SG <strong>bonds</strong> by country <strong>of</strong> risk. The nature <strong>of</strong> SG <strong>bonds</strong> is<br />

fairly different to non-SG <strong>bonds</strong> in terms <strong>of</strong> the amounts issued. On average, the value <strong>of</strong> the SG bond issues were far larger than those <strong>of</strong> the issues <strong>of</strong> non-<br />

SG <strong>bonds</strong>. Otherwise, however, these <strong>bonds</strong> were similar in terms <strong>of</strong> the coupon, maximum tenor <strong>and</strong> other contractual feature. Both <strong>of</strong> these findings are<br />

to be expected to some extent. Contractual features are similar because the comparison group <strong>of</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> was selected explicitly on the basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong><br />

guarantee scheme eligibility criteria. And, differences in amounts issued reflect wholesale funding market conditions. 38<br />

Table 28: Comparison <strong>of</strong> means, by country <strong>of</strong> risk<br />

Amount issued Coupon Maximum tenor<br />

(€m)<br />

(%)<br />

(yrs)<br />

CDS spread Cross default Force majeure Negative pledge Private Grace period<br />

(bps)<br />

clause† clause† clause† placement† (days)<br />

SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non- SG Non-<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

SG<br />

AT 859.3 27.4 3 4 3.3 3.9 120 120 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.8 0.00 0.08 15 0<br />

BE 1499 48 2 2 2.5 2.0 0 191 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.1 0.00 0.44 0.16 2 13<br />

DE 392 58 2 3 3.3 2.7 261 135 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002 0.00 0.00 0.004 0.002 2 19<br />

DK 723 733 2 3 3.0 2.7 112 112 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.07 0.22 1 1<br />

EL 1989 209 6 3 2.8 2.3 898 663 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 4 3<br />

ES 352 496 3 4 3.3 3.1 378 282 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.06 0 0<br />

LU 14 13 2 2 2.3 2.0 0 147 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 11 0<br />

NL 1253 21 2 4 4.1 3.0 158 156 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002 0.17 0.01 0.27 0.05 10 15<br />

PT 813 153 3 3 3.0 3.0 559 564 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46 7 0<br />

SE 732 721 2 2 3.2 3.1 88 73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.10 25 7<br />

SI 510 37 3 5 4.0 5.0 0 0 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 0<br />

UK 1129 40 2 1 2.7 2.7 157 96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.10 7 1<br />

Total 686 75 2 4 3.1 2.9 327 151 0.04 0.00 0.002 0.003 0.04 0.006 0.11 0.05 5 15<br />

Source: Bloomberg<br />

38 The validity <strong>of</strong> the econometric analysis is not undermined as a result <strong>of</strong> sizeable differences in the value <strong>of</strong> SG versus non-SG <strong>bonds</strong> because amounts issued are controlled for explicitly in the econometric analysis.<br />

139

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