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3 Issuing costs of state guaranteed bonds - Financial Risk and ...

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Tables, Figures & boxes Page<br />

Table 39: Differences in issuance volume between large <strong>and</strong> small banks 154<br />

Table 40: Re-estimation <strong>of</strong> issuing cost model with imputed data 155<br />

Table 41: Results <strong>of</strong> test <strong>of</strong> multi-collinearity <strong>of</strong> main issuing cost model 157<br />

Table 42: Re-estimation results <strong>of</strong> issuing cost model using generalised least squares 159<br />

Table 43: Results <strong>of</strong> test <strong>of</strong> multi-collinearity <strong>of</strong> main spill-over model 161<br />

Table 44: Re-estimation results <strong>of</strong> issuing cost model using generalised least squares 163<br />

Table 45: Non-missing values by quarter, equity <strong>and</strong> total liabilities <strong>and</strong> equity 164<br />

Table 46: Non-missing values by quarter, operating income, net interest income <strong>and</strong> other earning<br />

assets 165<br />

Table 47: Non-missing values by quarter, deposits, funding <strong>and</strong> pref. shares <strong>and</strong> hybrid capital<br />

accounted for as debt 166<br />

Table 48: Non-missing values by quarter, loan variables 168<br />

Table 49: Non-missing values by year, equity <strong>and</strong> total liabilities <strong>and</strong> equity 170<br />

Table 50: Non-missing values by year, operating income, net interest income <strong>and</strong> other earning<br />

assets 170<br />

Table 51: Non-missing values by year, deposits, funding <strong>and</strong> pref. shares <strong>and</strong> hybrid capital<br />

accounted for as debt 171<br />

Table 52: Non-missing values by year, loan variables 171<br />

Table 53: Comparison <strong>of</strong> non-missings in BankScope <strong>and</strong> Bloomberg, number <strong>of</strong> non-missing<br />

values 173<br />

Table 54: Correlation between participation in SG scheme <strong>and</strong> credit extension 174<br />

Table 55: Correlation between participation in SG scheme <strong>and</strong> funding outcomes 174<br />

Table 56: Autocorrelation <strong>of</strong> credit extension 175<br />

Table 57: Autocorrelation <strong>of</strong> funding outcomes 175<br />

Figure 1: Pattern <strong>of</strong> SG bond issuance activity, number <strong>of</strong> bond issues (#) <strong>and</strong> value <strong>of</strong> bond issues<br />

(€mn), Oct-08 - Dec-10 16<br />

Figure 2: Approved measures <strong>and</strong> guarantees granted under <strong>state</strong> guarantee schemes 17<br />

Figure 3: Top 20 issuers <strong>of</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> among banks receiving <strong>state</strong> guarantees 22<br />

Figure 4: Maturity structure <strong>of</strong> SG <strong>bonds</strong> at issue by number <strong>of</strong> issues at different maturities 23<br />

Figure 5: <strong>Issuing</strong> cost by issuer rating, SG <strong>and</strong> non-SG <strong>bonds</strong> 24<br />

Figure 6: <strong>Issuing</strong> cost by sovereign rating, SG <strong>bonds</strong> 25<br />

Figure 7: Interpolated spread 33<br />

Figure 8:Option-adjusted spread 34<br />

Figure 9: Bond issuing <strong>costs</strong> <strong>and</strong> volumes, 2009-2010 45<br />

Figure 10: Differences in issuing <strong>costs</strong> across <strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>and</strong> non-<strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> 46<br />

Figure 11: Market perceptions <strong>of</strong> uncertainty, VSTOXX Index, %age deviations from median, 48<br />

Figure 12: SG <strong>and</strong> non-SG bond issuing <strong>costs</strong> by bond rating 49<br />

Figure 13: SG bond issuing cost by sovereign rating 50<br />

Figure 14: SG bond issuing cost by bond rating <strong>and</strong> sovereign rating 51<br />

Figure 15: Partial regression plot <strong>of</strong> baseline impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> guarantees on issuing cost (n=683) 54<br />

Figure 16: Distribution <strong>of</strong> impacts <strong>of</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> guarantee on issuing cost (n=523) 55<br />

iv

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