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3 Issuing costs of state guaranteed bonds - Financial Risk and ...

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1 Introduction<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> the latter’s relationship to key factors such as issuer <strong>and</strong> sovereign ratings <strong>and</strong><br />

indicators <strong>of</strong> confidence in financial markets. These relationships are investigated formally through<br />

an estimation <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> in issuing <strong>costs</strong>. In addition, the impact <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> as a class on the issuing <strong>costs</strong> <strong>of</strong> non-<strong>state</strong>-<strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> is estimated.<br />

Taken together, the results <strong>of</strong> this section provides empirical results on the trade-<strong>of</strong>f between the<br />

effectiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> guarantees to banks participating in <strong>state</strong> guarantee schemes (or receiving<br />

ad hoc guarantees) <strong>and</strong> the extent <strong>of</strong> spill-over to non-participating banks.<br />

Section 4 considers the impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> <strong>guaranteed</strong> <strong>bonds</strong> to banks on a number <strong>of</strong> bank<br />

outcomes, including lending <strong>and</strong> risk-taking. This section proceeds in a similar fashion to Section 3,<br />

first providing a descriptive analysis <strong>of</strong> changes in key bank outcomes <strong>and</strong> then reporting formal<br />

estimation results <strong>of</strong> the impacts <strong>of</strong> <strong>state</strong> guarantees.<br />

Section 5 distils the main findings <strong>of</strong> the report into policy recommendations.<br />

And, Annex 1-Annex 8 provides technical details <strong>and</strong> other relevant background material.<br />

14

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