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THE PLANTAR REFLEX - RePub

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indicate consistent ratings. It is apparent that many observers fell short of<br />

this ideal line. Cohen (1960, 1968) developed a statistical method to<br />

measure observer agreement - a method which takes into account the<br />

agreement to be expected by chance, and which also weighs the extent of<br />

possible disagreements. If we apply this measurement to the intraobserver<br />

variation between the first and the second presentation, displayed<br />

in table V, we find that Cohen's factor 'weighted kappa' (ranging from 0<br />

for chance agreement and l for full agreement) is 0.09 for film A and 0.28<br />

for film B. These very low kappa values indicate that the usual clinical<br />

interpretation of plantar reflexes can be meaningless in some cases.<br />

The variation between different observers for the two films is indicated<br />

in table V by the totals in the margin. Because individual inconsistencies<br />

compensate each other to a large extent, the difference between ratings on<br />

the first and the second presentation is much less marked for the group as<br />

a whole. But the range of opinions is considerable, and the frequency<br />

distributions for both films have some characteristics in common:<br />

1. All ratings were distributed among four of the five choices offered: one<br />

extreme of the scale was not opted for (unmistakably upward for film A,<br />

unmistakably downward for film B).<br />

2. About one half of the observers agreed about one particular choice<br />

(possibly downward for film A, possibly upward for film B), while the<br />

other half were divided among the three other categories.<br />

3. The category 'neither upward nor downward' is underrepresented in<br />

comparison with a symmetrical distribution.<br />

This variation between observers is superimposed upon the intraobserver<br />

disagreement which has already been proved to be extreme for<br />

these films. The combined effect can only make the reproducibility of<br />

interpretation even lower.<br />

Effects of preceding information<br />

The results for the 'information' group are shown in table VI. Like the<br />

'no information' group, only a minority of the observers rated consistently<br />

(within the diagonals). An important difference is, however, that here the<br />

inconsistent ratings are not scattered symmetrically on both sides of the<br />

diagonal, but are skewed towards one side, according to the combined<br />

direction of bias. To investigate this further, all relevant differences<br />

between the various mean ratings - shown in figure 3 - were subjected to<br />

the t-test. For both films, I up resulted in significantly more pathological<br />

markings than luown (tA = 3.10, degrees of freedom (d.f.) = 19, p

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