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The influence of the place-value structure of the Arabic number ...

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APPENDIX A<br />

A remark on how to evaluate <strong>the</strong> logarithmic vs. two-linear issue<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are different ways <strong>of</strong> evaluating whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> logarithmic or <strong>the</strong> two-linear model<br />

provide a better fit <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> empirical data. In <strong>the</strong> following, <strong>the</strong>se different approaches shall be<br />

summarized. Generally, (i) approaches averaging data across participants can be distinguished<br />

from (ii) approaches contrasting individual performance measures.<br />

Averaging across participants (fixed effects analysis):<br />

(a) After averaging <strong>the</strong> estimates for each to-be-located <strong>number</strong> across all participants<br />

a comparison may be <strong>of</strong> interest which <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two models (logarithmic vs. two-linear)<br />

provides a better fit <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> empirical data (e.g., in terms <strong>of</strong> adjusted R 2 ). This can be done for<br />

instance by a stepwise multiple regression analysis in which both a linear as well as a<br />

logarithmic predictor is entered. By <strong>the</strong> logic <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> stepwise regression analysis <strong>the</strong> predictor<br />

which accounts for <strong>the</strong> largest part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variance is included in <strong>the</strong> model first. Any fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

predictor will only be incorporated into <strong>the</strong> model when it adds significantly to <strong>the</strong> variance<br />

explained by <strong>the</strong> final regression model. <strong>The</strong>reby, it would be possible to identify which <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

two predictors (i.e., linear or logarithmic) is incorporated into <strong>the</strong> regression model first and to<br />

evaluate whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> inclusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r predictor would add reliably to <strong>the</strong> explanatory<br />

power <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model or not. When running this stepwise regression analysis on mean estimates<br />

<strong>of</strong> all Italian-speaking children it could be observed that only <strong>the</strong> two-linear predictor was<br />

considered in <strong>the</strong> final regression model while <strong>the</strong> logarithmic predictor was not incorporated<br />

[R = .99, adj. R 2 = .97, F(1, 16) = 553.59, p < .001, b two-lin = .99, p < .001, b log = - .35, p =<br />

.18]. This observation was substantiated by <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> two forward regression analyses.<br />

When entering <strong>the</strong> logarithmic and <strong>the</strong> two-linear predictor successively <strong>the</strong> logarithmic<br />

predictor on its own was found to be a reliable predictor <strong>of</strong> estimation performance [b = .96, p<br />

< .001]. However, when entering <strong>the</strong> two-linear predictor <strong>the</strong> logarithmic predictor was no<br />

115

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