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The influence of the place-value structure of the Arabic number ...

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longer a reliable predictor <strong>of</strong> estimation performance [R = .99, adj. R 2 = .97, F(2, 15) =<br />

295.11, p < .001; see Table A]. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, when starting <strong>the</strong> regression analysis with<br />

<strong>the</strong> two-linear predictor and <strong>the</strong>n adding <strong>the</strong> logarithmic predictor <strong>the</strong> latter did not account<br />

for a reliable portion <strong>of</strong> additional variance [R = .99, adj. R 2 = .97, F(1, 16) = 553.59, p <<br />

.001, b two-lin = .99, p < .001, b log = - .35, p = .18]. Please note that <strong>the</strong> results for <strong>the</strong> Germanspeaking<br />

sample were identical.<br />

Table A: Results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> first logarithmic <strong>the</strong>n two-linear forward regression<br />

analysis for Italian-speaking children<br />

Standardized Change in<br />

Predictor<br />

B<br />

t p<br />

b<br />

R²<br />

Logarithmic - .36 - .35 .93 1.42 .18<br />

Two-linear 1.35 1.33 .05 5.43 .001<br />

(b) Identifying <strong>the</strong> optimal break-point in a two-linear regression may provide<br />

additional information. Only if <strong>the</strong> optimal break-point falls near <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretically proposed<br />

break-point <strong>the</strong> two-linear model seems appropriate. As can be seen from Figure 2 adjusted R 2<br />

for <strong>the</strong> two-linear model is descriptively larger than that for <strong>the</strong> logarithmic model.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> optimal break-point <strong>of</strong> 9.57 for <strong>the</strong> Italian-speaking as well as 11.33 for <strong>the</strong><br />

German-speaking sample was indeed very close to <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sized break-point <strong>of</strong> 10.<br />

(c) Finally, running separate analyses for one- and two-digit <strong>number</strong>s may also be <strong>of</strong><br />

particular interest for two main reasons. First, when assuming each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se two<br />

representations to be linear with a fixed breakpoint at 10 instead <strong>of</strong> an overall logarithmic<br />

representation <strong>of</strong> <strong>number</strong> magnitude such analyses reflect a crucial test <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> predictions <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> two-linear model. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, when assuming an overall logarithmic representation<br />

not differentiating between single- and two-digit <strong>number</strong>s separate analyses for each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

intervals should never<strong>the</strong>less reveal that <strong>the</strong> estimates are fitted best by a logarithmic function.<br />

116

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