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patterns of population growth in nepal - Institute for Social and ...

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260<br />

relevant.<br />

These policy recolm'lendations appear to be<br />

In this respect the question is can<br />

"development- alone be considered as a suitable<br />

policy measure. <strong>for</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g fertility <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

ar rest<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>growth</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>population</strong>? If the answer<br />

the<br />

is <strong>in</strong>Laffirmative then this follows one more relevant<br />

question i.e.,are the present levels <strong>of</strong><br />

socio-economic conditions high enough to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />

about a genu<strong>in</strong>e fertility transition? These<br />

questions could be answered with the help <strong>of</strong> wellknown<br />

threshold<br />

hypothesis. The threshold hypothesis<br />

postulates that: -<strong>in</strong> a develop<strong>in</strong>g country,<br />

the fertility is <strong>in</strong>itially high.<br />

Improv<strong>in</strong>g economic<br />

<strong>and</strong> social conditionS are likely to have litt4e if<br />

any effect on fertility until a certa<strong>in</strong> economic<br />

<strong>and</strong> social level is reached, but once that level is<br />

achieved, fertility is likely to enter a decided<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e) <strong>and</strong> to cont<strong>in</strong>ue downward until it is aga<strong>in</strong><br />

stabilized on a much lower planeR (UN, 19651 143).<br />

Attempt has been made to gather the <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation on<br />

some selected <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>of</strong> socio-economic development<br />

<strong>for</strong> the country as well as its regions to<br />

compare them wi th given threshold level. From

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