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Quality and Reliability Methods - SAS

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226 Lifetime Distribution Chapter 13<br />

Statistical Details<br />

Nonparametric Fit<br />

A nonparametric fit describes the basic curve of a distribution. For data with no censoring (failures only)<br />

<strong>and</strong> for data where the observations consist of both failures <strong>and</strong> right-censoring, JMP uses Kaplan-Meier<br />

estimates. For mixed, interval, or left censoring, JMP uses Turnbull estimates. When your data set contains<br />

only right-censored data, the Nonparametric Estimate report indicates that the nonparametric estimate<br />

cannot be calculated.<br />

The Life Distribution platform uses the midpoint estimates of the step function to construct probability<br />

plots. The midpoint estimate is halfway between (or the average of) the current <strong>and</strong> previous Kaplan-Meier<br />

estimates.<br />

Parametric Distributions<br />

Parametric distributions provide a more concise distribution fit than nonparametric distributions. The<br />

estimates of failure-time distributions are also smoother. Parametric models are also useful for extrapolation<br />

(in time) to the lower or upper tails of a distribution.<br />

Note: Many distributions in the Life Distribution platform are parameterized by location <strong>and</strong> scale. For<br />

lognormal fits, the median is also provided. And a threshold parameter is also included in threshold<br />

distributions. Location corresponds to μ, scale corresponds to σ, <strong>and</strong> threshold corresponds to γ.<br />

Lognormal<br />

Lognormal distributions are used commonly for failure times when the range of the data is several powers of<br />

ten. This distribution is often considered as the multiplicative product of many small positive identically<br />

independently distributed r<strong>and</strong>om variables. It is reasonable when the log of the data values appears<br />

normally distributed. Examples of data appropriately modeled by the lognormal distribution include<br />

hospital cost data, metal fatigue crack growth, <strong>and</strong> the survival time of bacteria subjected to disinfectants.<br />

The pdf curve is usually characterized by strong right-skewness. The lognormal pdf <strong>and</strong> cdf are<br />

fxμ ( ; , σ)<br />

=<br />

1<br />

-----φ<br />

xσ nor<br />

log( x)<br />

– μ<br />

----------------------- , x > 0<br />

σ<br />

log( x)<br />

– μ<br />

Fxμσ ( ; , ) = Φ nor<br />

-----------------------<br />

σ<br />

,<br />

where<br />

φ nor<br />

( z)<br />

=<br />

1 z 2 ----------<br />

2π<br />

exp <br />

–----<br />

2 <br />

<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

z<br />

Φ nor<br />

( z) = φ nor<br />

( w) dw<br />

–∞<br />

are the pdf <strong>and</strong> cdf, respectively, for the st<strong>and</strong>ardized normal, or nor(μ = 0, σ = 1) distribution.

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