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Quality and Reliability Methods - SAS

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360 <strong>Reliability</strong> <strong>and</strong> Survival Analysis Chapter 19<br />

Univariate Survival Analysis<br />

– Show Simultaneous CI toggles the simultaneous confidence b<strong>and</strong>s for all groups on the plot.<br />

Meeker <strong>and</strong> Escobar (1998, chap. 3) discuss pointwise <strong>and</strong> simultaneous confidence intervals <strong>and</strong><br />

the motivation for simultaneous confidence intervals in survival analysis.<br />

– Midstep Quantile Points changes the plotting positions to use the modified Kaplan-Meier plotting<br />

positions, which are equivalent to taking mid-step positions of the Kaplan-Meier curve, rather than<br />

the bottom-of-step positions. This option is recommended, so by default it is turned on.<br />

– Connect Quantile Points toggles the lines in the plot on <strong>and</strong> off. By default, this option is on.<br />

– Fitted Quantile toggles the straight-line fit on the fitted Weibull, lognormal, or Exponential<br />

Quantile plot.<br />

– Fitted Quantile CI Lines toggles the 95% confidence b<strong>and</strong>s for the fitted Weibull, lognormal, or<br />

Exponential Quantile plot.<br />

– Fitted Quantile CI Shaded toggles the display of the 95% confidence b<strong>and</strong>s for a fit as a shaded area<br />

or dashed lines.<br />

– Fitted Survival CI toggles the confidence intervals (on the survival plot) of the fitted distribution.<br />

– Fitted Failure CI toggles the confidence intervals (on the failure plot) of the fitted distribution.<br />

Exponential Plot when checked, plots the cumulative exponential failure probability by time for each<br />

group. Lines that are approximately linear empirically indicate the appropriateness of using an<br />

exponential model for further analysis. In Figure 19.15, the lines for Group 1 <strong>and</strong> Group 2 in the<br />

Exponential Plot are curved rather than straight. This indicates that the exponential distribution is not<br />

appropriate for this data.<br />

Exponential Fit produces the Exponential Parameters table <strong>and</strong> the linear fit to the exponential<br />

cumulative distribution function in the Exponential Plot. Results are shown in Figure 19.15. The<br />

parameter Theta corresponds to the mean failure time.<br />

Weibull Plot plots the cumulative Weibull failure probability by log(time) for each group. A Weibull plot<br />

that has approximately parallel <strong>and</strong> straight lines indicates a Weibull survival distribution model might<br />

be appropriate to use for further analysis.<br />

Weibull Fit produces the linear fit to the Weibull cumulative distribution function in the Weibull plot <strong>and</strong><br />

two popular forms of Weibull estimates. These estimates are shown in the Extreme Value Parameter<br />

Estimates table <strong>and</strong> the Weibull Parameter Estimates tables (Figure 19.15). The Alpha parameter is the<br />

63.2 percentile of the failure-time distribution. The Extreme-value table shows a different<br />

parameterization of the same fit, where Lambda = ln(Alpha) <strong>and</strong> Delta = 1/Beta.<br />

LogNormal Plot plots the cumulative lognormal failure probability by log(time) for each group. A<br />

lognormal plot that has approximately parallel <strong>and</strong> straight lines indicates a lognormal distribution is<br />

appropriate to use for further analysis.<br />

LogNormal Fit produces the linear fit to the lognormal cumulative distribution function in the<br />

lognormal plot <strong>and</strong> the LogNormal Parameter Estimates table shown in Figure 19.15. Mu <strong>and</strong> Sigma<br />

correspond to the mean <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of a normally distributed natural logarithm of the time<br />

variable.

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