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Quality and Reliability Methods - SAS

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Chapter 18 <strong>Reliability</strong> Growth 343<br />

Additional Examples of the <strong>Reliability</strong> Growth Platform<br />

to 112 is not represented in the table). Since these make no contribution to the likelihood function, they are<br />

not needed for estimation of model parameters.<br />

However, to fit a Piecewise Weibull NHPP or Reinitialized Weibull NHPP model, it is important that the<br />

start times for all phases be provided in the Time to Event or Timestamp columns.<br />

Here, the three phases began at days 0 (Initial phase), 91 (Revised phase), <strong>and</strong> 200 (Final phase). There were<br />

failures during the weeks that began the Initial <strong>and</strong> Revised phases. However, no failures were reported<br />

between days 196 <strong>and</strong> 231. For this reason, an interval with beginning <strong>and</strong> ending days equal to 200 was<br />

included in the table (row 23), reflecting 0 failures. This is necessary so that JMP knows the start time of the<br />

Final phase.<br />

The test was terminated at 385 days. This is an example of interval-censored failure times with time<br />

terminated phases.<br />

Note: The phase start times are required for proper display of the transition times for the Piecewise Weibull<br />

NHPP model; they are required for estimation of the Reinitialized Weibull NHPP model. For<br />

interval-censored data, the algorithm defines the beginning time for a phase as the start date recorded in the<br />

row containing the first occurrence of that phase designation. In our example, if row 23 were not in the<br />

table, the beginning time of the Final phase would be taken as 231.<br />

1. Open the TurbineEngineDesign2.jmp sample data table.<br />

2. Select Analyze > <strong>Reliability</strong> <strong>and</strong> Survival > <strong>Reliability</strong> Growth.<br />

3. On the Time to Event Format tab, select the columns Interval Start <strong>and</strong> Interval End, <strong>and</strong> click Time to<br />

Event.<br />

4. Select Fixes <strong>and</strong> click Event Count.<br />

5. Select Design Phase <strong>and</strong> click Phase.<br />

6. Click OK.<br />

7. From the red triangle menu at <strong>Reliability</strong> Growth, select Fit Model > Piecewise Weibull NHPP.<br />

The Cumulative Events plot from the Observed Data report is shown in Figure 18.21. The vertical dashed<br />

blue lines indicate the phase transition points. The first occurrence of Revised in the column Design Phase<br />

is in row 14. So, the start of the Revised phase is taken to be the Interval Start value in row 14, namely, day<br />

91. Similarly, the first occurrence of Final in the column Design Phase is in row 23. So, the start of the<br />

Final phase is taken to be the Interval Start value in row 23, namely, day 200.

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