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Quality and Reliability Methods - SAS

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Chapter 20 <strong>Reliability</strong> <strong>and</strong> Survival Analysis II 393<br />

Proportional Hazards Model<br />

Whole Model, Parameter Estimates, <strong>and</strong> Effect Likelihood Ratio Tests Tables<br />

• The Whole Model table shows the negative of the natural log of the likelihood function<br />

(–LogLikelihood) for the model with <strong>and</strong> without the covariates. Twice the positive difference between<br />

them gives a chi-square test of the hypothesis that there is no difference in survival time among the<br />

effects. The degrees of freedom (DF) are equal to the change in the number of parameters between the<br />

full <strong>and</strong> reduced models. The low Prob>Chisq value (ChiSq values indicate<br />

that KPS <strong>and</strong> at least one of the levels of Cell Type are significant, while Treatment, Prior, Age, <strong>and</strong> Diag<br />

Time effects are not significant.<br />

Calculating Risk Ratios for Multiple Effects <strong>and</strong> Multiple Levels<br />

The Risk Ratios option is available from the red-triangle menu of the Proportional Hazards Fit title bar of<br />

the report <strong>and</strong> shows the risk ratios for the effects. Figure 20.20 shows the Risk Ratios for the continuous<br />

effects (Age, Diag Time, KPS) <strong>and</strong> the nominal effects (Cell Type, Treatment, Prior). Of particular interest<br />

in this section, for illustration, is the continuous effect, Age, <strong>and</strong> the nominal effect with four levels (Cell<br />

Type) for the VA Lung Cancer.jmp sample data.<br />

For continuous columns, unit risk ratios <strong>and</strong> range risk ratios are calculated. The Unit Risk Ratio is<br />

Exp(estimate) <strong>and</strong> the Range Risk Ratio is Exp[estimate(x Max – x Min )]. The Unit Risk Ratio shows the risk<br />

change over one unit of the regressor, <strong>and</strong> the Range Risk Ratio shows the change over the whole range of<br />

the regressor. For example, for the continuous effect, Age, in the VA Lung Cancer.jmp sample data, the risk<br />

ratios are calculated as<br />

Unit Risk Ratios<br />

exp(β) = exp(-0.0085494) = 0.991487<br />

Range Risk Ratios<br />

exp[β(xmax - xmin)] = exp(-0.0085494 * 47) = 0.669099<br />

Risk Ratios for Cell Type<br />

For categorical columns, risk ratios are shown in separate tables for each effect. For the nominal effect, Cell<br />

Type, all pairs of levels are calculated <strong>and</strong> are shown in the Risk Ratios for Cell Type table. Note that for a<br />

categorical variable with k levels, only k -1 design variables, or levels, are used. In the Parameter Estimates<br />

table, parameter estimates are shown for only three of the four levels for Cell Type (Adeno, Large, <strong>and</strong>

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