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Quality and Reliability Methods - SAS

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396 <strong>Reliability</strong> <strong>and</strong> Survival Analysis II Chapter 20<br />

Nonlinear Parametric Survival Models<br />

Lognormal Loss Function<br />

Loglogistic Loss Function<br />

Weibull Loss Function Example<br />

This example uses the VA Lung Cancer.jmp table. Models are fit to the survival time using the Weibull,<br />

lognormal, <strong>and</strong> exponential distributions. Model fits include a simple survival model containing only two<br />

regressors, a more complex model with all the regressors <strong>and</strong> some covariates, <strong>and</strong> the creation of dummy<br />

variables for the covariate Cell Type to be included in the full model.<br />

1. Open the VA Lung Cancer.jmp sample data table.<br />

The first model <strong>and</strong> all the loss functions have already been created as formulas in the data table. The<br />

Model column has the following formula:<br />

Log(:Time) - (b0 + b1 * Age + b2 * Diag Time)<br />

Nonlinear model fitting is often sensitive to the initial values you give to the model parameters. In this<br />

example, one way to find reasonable initial values is to first use the Nonlinear platform to fit only the<br />

linear model. When the model converges, the solution values for the parameters become the initial<br />

parameter values for the nonlinear model.<br />

2. Select Analyze >Modeling > Nonlinear.<br />

3. Select Model <strong>and</strong> click X, Predictor Formula.<br />

4. Click OK.<br />

5. Click Go.<br />

The platform computes the least squares parameter estimates for this model, as shown in Figure 20.21.

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