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The Energy Regulation and Markets Review - Stikeman Elliott

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United Kingdom<br />

E.ON <strong>and</strong> RWE’s interest in the Horizon Nuclear Power JV – which means that E.ON<br />

<strong>and</strong> RWE are now out of the running to build the UK’s next generation of nuclear power<br />

plants. Several large coal-fired power stations have announced plans to convert to run on<br />

biomass, including Drax, which plans to develop a 426 MW biomass co-firing facility at<br />

the Drax site. Activity in the offshore wind sector has continued with the Barrow, Robin<br />

Rigg <strong>and</strong> Gunfleet S<strong>and</strong>s offshore transmission projects all reaching financial close <strong>and</strong><br />

the next phase of projects underway.<br />

VII<br />

CONCLUSIONS <strong>and</strong> OUTLOOK<br />

<strong>The</strong> market currently faces a good deal of uncertainty. <strong>The</strong> government is trying to<br />

reconcile three sometimes contradictory objectives, namely decarbonisation, ensuring<br />

energy security <strong>and</strong> ensuring affordability for consumers. Policy proposals have been<br />

many <strong>and</strong> far reaching over the past 18 months, but at the current time there is little<br />

detail as to how those policies – <strong>and</strong> particularly EMR – will be implemented. This<br />

causes uncertainty, which affects investor confidence, already poor as a result of the<br />

financial crisis. A great deal of political capital has been invested in offshore wind <strong>and</strong><br />

nuclear generation. Some commentators are beginning to question the economics of<br />

offshore wind, <strong>and</strong> plans for new nuclear were dealt a blow with the withdrawal of RWE<br />

<strong>and</strong> E.ON from the nuclear build programme. Significant infrastructure investment is<br />

also required, both to replace existing assets <strong>and</strong> to develop the system in preparation for<br />

the expected increase in intermittent <strong>and</strong> geographically remote generation.<br />

What has been notable by its absence during the EMR process has been<br />

consideration of the contribution of natural gas in the future. Given the amount of gasfired<br />

generation already installed, the government’s call for evidence on the future of gas<br />

is to be welcomed, particularly if it opens a debate on how the EMR proposals will affect<br />

the gas market as gas moves from its current role as baseload to providing back up for<br />

intermittent generation in future.<br />

A draft <strong>Energy</strong> Bill is due in late May, which, hopefully, will clarify many of the<br />

outst<strong>and</strong>ing questions. <strong>The</strong> sector needs clarity, but it also needs clear investment signals.<br />

<strong>The</strong> upcoming legislation must be clear <strong>and</strong> coherent if investors are to be tempted back<br />

into the market.<br />

333

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