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13th International Conference on Membrane Computing - MTA Sztaki

13th International Conference on Membrane Computing - MTA Sztaki

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P. Ramón, A. Troina<br />

from were the data has been collected. These simulati<strong>on</strong> results can be used for<br />

further validati<strong>on</strong> of the model by collecting data <strong>on</strong> new plots corresp<strong>on</strong>ding to<br />

the parameters of the simulati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

(a) 1400 ∗ g and 90 ∗ i<br />

(b) 1550 ∗ g and 60 ∗ i<br />

(c) 1700 ∗ g and 85 ∗ i<br />

(d) 1900 ∗ g and 75 ∗ i<br />

Fig. 5. Deviati<strong>on</strong> of the height of Crot<strong>on</strong> wagneri for 100 simulati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

If we already trust the validity of our model, we can remove the correlati<strong>on</strong><br />

between the gradient and the temperature, and directly express the latter.<br />

Predicti<strong>on</strong>s can thus be made about the shrub height at different temperatures,<br />

and how it could adapt to global climate change. Figure 6 shows two possible<br />

distributi<strong>on</strong>s of the shrub height at lower temperatures (given it will actually<br />

survive these more extreme c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and follow the same trend).<br />

5 C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s and Related Works<br />

The l<strong>on</strong>g-term goal of Computati<strong>on</strong>al Ecology is the development of methods to<br />

predict the resp<strong>on</strong>se of ecosystems to changes in their physical, chemical and biological<br />

comp<strong>on</strong>ents. Computati<strong>on</strong>al models, and their ability to understand and<br />

predict the biological world, could be used to express the mechanisms governing<br />

the structure and functi<strong>on</strong> of natural populati<strong>on</strong>s, communities, and ecosystems.<br />

Until recent times, there was insufficient computati<strong>on</strong>al power to run stochas-<br />

400

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