WORLDWIDE MARKET RESEARCH REPORT - CISE

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EC/IST FP6 Project No 026920 Work Package: 6 Type of document: Report Date: 20.12.2007 File name: OP_WP6_D37_V1.0.doc Version: 1.0 Title: Worldwide Market Research Report 176 / 356 5.3.7 Cost Comparison with traditional Network Technologies [E21] The ascension of the 10 last EU member states marks a new era in Eastern Europe, as the countries in the region integrate themselves with their western neighbours. Requirements to the EU and World Trade Organisation (WTO) have been major influence behind liberalisation in the region. As a result of liberalisation prices for services have come, resulting in increased uptake of new services such as broadband. The mobile market in the region is also facing increased competition as an increasing number of operators have to find new sources of revenue due to maturing or saturated markets. This too has led to the introduction and uptake of mobile data and content applications. Privatisation of the Russia's state-owned telecoms group Svyazinvest is underway as in September 2005 plans to privatise the telecom operator were submitted to the government for approval. The privatisation of Svyazinvest is significant as it holds controlling stakes in all seven “mega-regional” operators that dominate their respective markets but require upgrades to infrastructure. 2005 was also the year of privatisations for other countries in the region. In 2005 Bulgaria privatised its remaining 34.6% state-owned stake, Montenegro privatised its remaining 51.12% majority stake and Albania privatised a 76% majority stake. Bosnia privatised its incumbent by mid-2006 and Romania completed privatisation of its remaining 45.99% stake in 2006. Serbia is moving to privatise its 49% stake in its mobile operator but has been hampered by an ownership dispute. [E24] While the number of broadband operators is increasing quickly, prices remain high for a large segment of the market (a factor that is inhibiting it from reaching its full potential). As a result, operators are coming under increasing pressure to lower prices for access and increase bandwidth availability. Other broadband access technologies, such as fixed wireless, satellite, and powerline, remained negligible (in 2003). For the analysts of the sector, these are mainly niche markets and should not take significant market share from the more widely available DSL and cable segments. Still, fixed wireless services remain popular among small and medium-sized businesses in some CEE countries where DSL or cable are not yet widely available and where leased lines remain too expensive.
EC/IST FP6 Project No 026920 Work Package: 6 Type of document: Report Date: 20.12.2007 File name: OP_WP6_D37_V1.0.doc Version: 1.0 Title: Worldwide Market Research Report 177 / 356 From the other side (the electric sector), in the last years tariffs are substantially grown. [E25] Increasing the electricity tariffs for private consumers to cost-covering levels has been a very sensitive issue for all transition countries. The likely negative social consequences are the central argument why the necessary tariff corrections have not yet been implemented in some country (like in Ukraine) by the political decision makers. Basic data of one survey was used in evaluating the impact of possible tariff increases on the household expenditures of different income groups. The findings confirm that an electricity tariff increase up to the level which would cover “officially” measured costs, as defined by the Ukrainian electricity regulatory authority, would not cause severe social problems. However, further increases up to a level, which would cover the “true” costs should only be realised in steps. If the prices of the electric supply increase too much, probably also the prices of the PLC- based services could result few convenient in comparison to the prices of the other technologies. While in fact the electric grid in Eastern Europe is very old and partly have to be reconstructed, services linked to telephone and cable lines, such as wireless and mobile technologies, use more recent and modern network infrastructures, allowing a better exploitation of the transmission way. Some prices of the traditional services (ADSL, Telephone, IPTV and Wireless) sold in Eastern Europe have been shown in the section 5.3.5.1.4 (Internet service providers) and for convenience they are brought back below: • Telephony (unlimited) & TV at € 27 • Telephony & Internet (unlimited 16 Mbps) at € 32 • All in One (“triple play”) at € 35-40 • 128 Kbps Wireless solution at € 27 (plus € 94 of installation cost) • 512 Kbps Wireless solution at € 67 (plus € 134 of installation cost) • 1024 Kbps Wireless solution at € 121 (plus € 188 of installation cost) The price of the PLC technology, as it has been said in the section 5.3.5.2.2 (PLC cases in Romania) can wander around € 7 for a phone and 64 Kbps internet access.
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