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Double-Edged Hydropolitics on the Nile - Center for Security Studies ...

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Domestic C<strong>on</strong>straints and Internati<strong>on</strong>al Cooperati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> Eastern <strong>Nile</strong> Basin<br />

In view of <strong>the</strong> authoritarian governance systems in both countries, <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>on</strong>going decentralizati<strong>on</strong> programs in <strong>the</strong> water sector are unlikely to empower<br />

local water users to a level where <strong>the</strong>y could effectively interfere in <strong>the</strong><br />

design or adopti<strong>on</strong> of nati<strong>on</strong>al or internati<strong>on</strong>al water policy developments.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> absence of effective channels of participati<strong>on</strong>, marginalized groups<br />

may perceive passive or violent resistance to <strong>the</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> of projects<br />

and policy re<strong>for</strong>ms as <strong>the</strong> most effective means to defend <strong>the</strong>ir interests. This<br />

affects both supply projects (e.g., resistance of local communities against dams<br />

and diversi<strong>on</strong>s) and demand management measures (e.g., resistance against<br />

water pricing or restricti<strong>on</strong>s to <strong>the</strong> cultivati<strong>on</strong> of water-intensive crops).<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> federal system in Ethiopia somewhat c<strong>on</strong>strains <strong>the</strong><br />

central government’s room <strong>for</strong> maneuver in <strong>the</strong> transboundary negotiati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

While <strong>the</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>al water ministry is <strong>for</strong>mally mandated to design<br />

large-scale water development projects, <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sent of <strong>the</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>al state<br />

authorities is essential <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> of any measure that entails<br />

significant negative impacts <strong>on</strong> local livelihoods, or resettlement. The planned<br />

establishment of River Basin Authorities adds ano<strong>the</strong>r set of actors to <strong>the</strong><br />

Ethiopian water sector whose role in <strong>the</strong> process of designing cooperative<br />

river development strategies in <strong>the</strong> <strong>Nile</strong> Basin needs to be defined.<br />

The cross-sectoral nature of water policy challenges calls <strong>for</strong> an effective<br />

coordinati<strong>on</strong> of planning processes at <strong>the</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>al and at <strong>the</strong> water sector<br />

levels. The most recent water sector plans of both countries (MoWR 2002;<br />

MWRI 2005) relate to overarching nati<strong>on</strong>al development policies (GoE<br />

1997; MoFED 2002). And yet, <strong>the</strong> water ministries in both countries have<br />

been faced with sudden top-down decisi<strong>on</strong>s significantly changing water<br />

development targets. For instance, <strong>the</strong> mega land reclamati<strong>on</strong> projects in<br />

Egypt were criticized <strong>for</strong> being designed at <strong>the</strong> highest political levels without<br />

<strong>the</strong> involvement of parliament and major nati<strong>on</strong>al stakeholders. The recent<br />

adopti<strong>on</strong> of a Universal Access Plan in Ethiopia also substantially alters<br />

<strong>the</strong> targets that were set in <strong>the</strong> regular policy <strong>for</strong>mulati<strong>on</strong> process under <strong>the</strong><br />

lead of <strong>the</strong> water ministry. The ease with which <strong>the</strong> highest-level political<br />

leaders can impose new policy targets also gives <strong>the</strong>m c<strong>on</strong>siderable room <strong>for</strong><br />

maneuver in <strong>the</strong> internati<strong>on</strong>al negotiati<strong>on</strong>s, and thus broadens <strong>the</strong> win-set<br />

in both countries.<br />

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