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Double-Edged Hydropolitics on the Nile - Center for Security Studies ...

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Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

The noti<strong>on</strong> of policy networks has gained prominence in recent years,<br />

both due to <strong>the</strong> impressi<strong>on</strong> that policy processes increasingly depend <strong>on</strong><br />

large numbers of different actors, and due to <strong>the</strong> explanatory benefits of<br />

highlighting <strong>the</strong> linkages between political stakeholders (see Bressers et al.<br />

1995). Linkages between actors are used to exchange in<strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong> and opini<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

to <strong>for</strong>m alliances in support of certain policy opti<strong>on</strong>s, or to cooperate <strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> of projects and strategies. While different qualitative<br />

and quantitative approaches to <strong>the</strong> analysis of policy networks have been<br />

applied, <strong>the</strong> insights as to what network types produce which policy outputs<br />

are ra<strong>the</strong>r fragmentary and qualitative. In this <strong>the</strong>sis, quantitative network<br />

data are combined with qualitative insights in order to illustrate <strong>the</strong> relevant<br />

structures governing water policy processes, and to identify key actors and<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir specific linkages to o<strong>the</strong>r domestic stakeholders (see Chapter 6).<br />

The three ‘patterns’ of decisi<strong>on</strong>-making distinguished by Graham Allis<strong>on</strong><br />

(1971) – i.e., rati<strong>on</strong>al choice, organizati<strong>on</strong>al processes, and governmental<br />

politics – provide a useful framework <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis of ‘Level II’ policy<br />

processes in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>text of a two-level game study (see also Chapter 4).<br />

Rati<strong>on</strong>al choice type decisi<strong>on</strong>s are made by a unitary actor (or like-minded<br />

group of actors) with <strong>the</strong> goal of maximizing utility in relati<strong>on</strong> to clearly<br />

defined goals. Organizati<strong>on</strong>al process type decisi<strong>on</strong>s are c<strong>on</strong>ceptualized as<br />

<strong>the</strong> output of (sub-) units in <strong>the</strong> policy sector applying organizati<strong>on</strong>al rules<br />

and standard procedures. Governmental politics type decisi<strong>on</strong>s are defined<br />

as <strong>the</strong> outcome of a bargaining process between different domestic actors,<br />

and can be understood <strong>on</strong>ly by analyzing <strong>the</strong>se actors’ interests and relative<br />

influence <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong>-making process.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r studies <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> linkages between domestic policy processes and<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong> of internati<strong>on</strong>al envir<strong>on</strong>mental regimes tested similar sets<br />

of decisi<strong>on</strong>-making patterns (e.g., Underdal 2000). Intuitively, <strong>the</strong> task of<br />

transboundary policy harm<strong>on</strong>izati<strong>on</strong> can be expected to be easier if domestic<br />

policy processes follow a rati<strong>on</strong>al choice pattern ra<strong>the</strong>r than complex mechanisms<br />

involving multiple instituti<strong>on</strong>s and actors with diverging interests.<br />

An earlier analysis of <strong>the</strong> processes leading to <strong>the</strong> design and c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong><br />

of <strong>the</strong> Aswan High Dam identified marked deviati<strong>on</strong>s from <strong>the</strong> rati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

choice decisi<strong>on</strong>-making pattern (Rycroft and Szyliowicz 1980).<br />

51

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