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1.1 Impact evaluation of Sp<strong>and</strong>ana's microcredit programme 5<br />
Objective <strong>and</strong> methodology This study uses a r<strong>and</strong>omized design to evaluate the impacts of<br />
Sp<strong>and</strong>ana's 6 microfinance programme on income, consumption, usage of financial services,<br />
asset ownership, scale of business <strong>and</strong> its profitability, <strong>and</strong> intra-household decision-making<br />
among their clients in Hyderabad 7 . A baseline survey was conducted in treatment <strong>and</strong> control<br />
slums <strong>and</strong> a follow-up survey will be administered after the completion of at least one loan<br />
cycle.<br />
Preliminary results from the baseline survey 8<br />
Some important<br />
questions the<br />
study seeks to<br />
answer include:<br />
how effectively<br />
does a rainfall<br />
insurance<br />
programme<br />
reduce<br />
vulnerability of<br />
poor<br />
households<br />
How does<br />
financial<br />
literacy<br />
influence the<br />
decision to<br />
purchase<br />
insurance How<br />
will it affect<br />
local risksharing<br />
Will<br />
policy-holders<br />
undertake more<br />
projects with a<br />
higher return<br />
(such as sowing<br />
more crops)<br />
Will there be<br />
any effect on<br />
the local price<br />
of goods, or on<br />
wage rates<br />
With an average family size of five <strong>and</strong> an average monthly expenditure of Rs 5,000, respondents<br />
were poor, but not ultra-poor: close to 50% of the respondents were earning under $2 a day<br />
but only 6 percent were earning below $1 a day. Businesses were very prevalent in these slums.<br />
However, these businesses had little specialized skills 9 , <strong>and</strong> tended be small, with little capital,<br />
little assets <strong>and</strong> few employees 10 .<br />
The loan indebtedness figures indicate that about two thirds of the sample had at least one<br />
loan 11 . Almost half of these loans came from money lenders, while few were provided by commercial<br />
banks <strong>and</strong> almost no MFI loan was available at the time 12 . Among those households who did<br />
not have a loan, more than half said that they wanted one but could not obtain one. Loans<br />
were rarely taken for business expansion: a number of loans were used towards health related<br />
expenses. marriages, consumption purposes <strong>and</strong> for construction <strong>and</strong> renovation of houses 13 .<br />
It was also found that a third of the households had a savings account <strong>and</strong> while every fourth<br />
household had a life insurance policy, almost none had health insurance. Yet it was found that<br />
60 percent of the households who had a sick member had to borrow to pay for the treatment<br />
(which was on average Rs 7,500) 14 .<br />
Where expansion opportunities appeared possible for these small businesses, they had not<br />
been exploited. Although a loan of Rs 10,000 is probably not sufficient for expansion,<br />
microfinance might help them exp<strong>and</strong> by "forcing" them to channel additional revenues into<br />
expansion (rather than on "wasted" expenditures).<br />
1.2 Impact evaluation of weather insurance,<br />
with SEWA, Gujarat 15<br />
Objective <strong>and</strong> methodology A natural disaster, such as drought or excessive rain, can cause<br />
crop failure, leading to substantial hardship manifested in reduced consumption, lower<br />
productivity, lower income, distress sales, <strong>and</strong> borrowing from moneylenders at high rates.<br />
The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of providing rainfall insurance on<br />
reducing such vulnerabilities faced by poor agricultural households, <strong>and</strong> on improving their<br />
livelihoods. Some important questions the study seeks to answer include: how effectively does<br />
a rainfall insurance programme reduce vulnerability of poor households How does financial<br />
literacy influence the decision to purchase insurance How will it affect local risk-sharing<br />
Will policy-holders undertake more projects with a higher return (such as sowing more crops)<br />
Will there be any effect on the local price of goods, or on wage rates<br />
156<br />
CMF will assist SEWA <strong>and</strong> ICICI Lombard in developing the product, <strong>and</strong> SEWA will offer rainfall<br />
insurance in a group of villages across three districts in Gujarat 16 . The Centre will measure <strong>and</strong>